Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Yunchaokete Bu vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #89
57%
VS

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rank: #71
43%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Yunchaokete Bu

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Ranking Trends

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current #89 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #71 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #67 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #65 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #69 2024-09-30

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

  • Current #71 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #112 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #128 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #139 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #154 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 19.7
ELO Rating: 693.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1518.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 86.1

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Form Index: 41.3
ELO Rating: 703.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.5
Clay: 8.4
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 90.0

Recent Matches

Yunchaokete Bu
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Beijing 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Zhizhen Zhang (1-2) hard Hangzhou 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) hard Winston Salem 158 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-0) hard Winston Salem 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sho Shimabukuro (0-2) hard Tokio 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rio Noguchi (2-0) hard Tokio 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (1-2) hard Chengdu 130 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Yuta Shimizu (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Calvin Hemery (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yunchaokete Bu
vs
0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Yunchaokete Bu and Juan Manuel Cerundolo is set in Shanghai during the Round of 128 of a Masters 1000 event on hard courts. The prediction favors Yunchaokete Bu with a 57.42% probability of winning, while Juan Manuel Cerundolo stands at 42.58%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is projected to be 23.0.

Match Analysis

Yunchaokete Bu, currently ranked 89, holds a form index of 19.68 and an Elo rating of 693.45. His surface strength index is notably higher at 7.71 compared to Cerundolo's 2.52, indicating greater proficiency on hard courts. Furthermore, Bu boasts a mean serve index of 97.35, which is higher than Cerundolo's 94.74, reflecting a significant advantage in serving capabilities. In terms of returning, Bu's mean return index of 86.06 is slightly lower than Cerundolo's 90.00, but the overall metrics suggest that Bu has a more robust game on this surface. In their recent performances, both players have faced challenges. Bu's last three matches include losses against Alex de Minaur and Zhizhen Zhang, with only one set won in the last two matches. Cerundolo's recent form is slightly better, having secured a win against Rio Noguchi, but he also suffered defeats in his other matches. His recent loss to Sho Shimabukuro further highlights his inconsistency, as he failed to win a set in that match.

Final Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu's edge in serving and surface strength, combined with a favorable ranking, positions him as the likely victor in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Bu's serve against Cerundolo's return, as this could significantly influence the outcome of the match.

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