Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Zizou Bergs vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #52
45%
VS

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #55
55%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jacob Fearnley

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Ranking Trends

Zizou Bergs

  • Current #52 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #50 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #61 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #61 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #85 2024-08-12

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current #55 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #57 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #78 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #94 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #162 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 11.8
ELO Rating: 861.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 87.9

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 22.7
ELO Rating: 925.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1539.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 88.9

Recent Matches

Zizou Bergs
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Evans (1-2) hard Washington 149 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lloyd Harris (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) grass Eastbourne 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) grass Halle 94 min

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Zizou Bergs
vs
0
Jacob Fearnley
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Zizou Bergs and Jacob Fearnley at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament promises an intriguing clash as both players look to advance past the Round of 128. The match will be played on hard courts, which suits both players' styles, but the prediction leans slightly towards Jacob Fearnley, who has a winning probability of 54.66% compared to Bergs' 45.34%. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Zizou Bergs, currently ranked 52, has a form index of 11.84 and an Elo rating of 861.08, indicating a struggle in his recent performances. His cumulative fatigue stands at 0, suggesting he is physically fresh. His surface strength index is relatively strong at 8.74, while his mean serve index is impressive at 97.51, outpacing Fearnley by over 5 points. However, Bergs' mean return index of 87.91 is slightly lower than Fearnley's 88.90, showcasing a minor weakness in return games. In contrast, Jacob Fearnley, ranked 55, boasts a higher form index of 22.66 and a more favorable Elo rating of 925.01. Like Bergs, Fearnley shows no fatigue, and his surface strength index is at 6.36. Despite having a slightly lower serve index at 94.70, his solid return capabilities may provide him with an edge in breaking Bergs' serve during crucial points. In their recent matches, both players have faced challenges, with Bergs losing his last three matches, whereas Fearnley has also been unable to secure wins, yet his performances have been more competitive.

Final Prediction

Jacob Fearnley appears to have a slight advantage due to his recent form and superior Elo rating, despite both players struggling to secure wins in their last outings. A key factor to watch will be how effectively each player can capitalize on their serve, particularly the ability of Bergs to maintain pressure with his strong serve index against Fearnley’s return game.

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