Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
April 11, 2026
Coventry vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 95.2% (Coventry)
Draw: 3.6%
Away Win: 1.2% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 58.8%
Under: 41.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.2%
No Goal: 55.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 10, 2026
West Brom vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (West Brom)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 24.2% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 07, 2026
Wrexham vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.5% (Wrexham)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 38.2% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Millwall vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.9% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.5% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Blackburn vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.5% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 33.7% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.7%
Under: 58.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Ipswich vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 71.1% (Ipswich)
Draw: 18.3%
Away Win: 10.6% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Portsmouth vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.7% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 18.0% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.4%
No Goal: 53.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Bristol City vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.9% (Bristol City)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 35.6% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Derby vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Derby)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 30.7% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 06, 2026
Preston vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.5% (Preston)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 33.5% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.8%
Under: 47.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.2% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 23.2%
Away Win: 54.6% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Watford vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.3% (Watford)
Draw: 26.6%
Away Win: 17.1% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Swansea vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.5% (Swansea)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 42.3% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 06, 2026
Hull vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.3% (Hull)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 45.8% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.6%
No Goal: 40.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Norwich vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.6% (Norwich)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 26.8% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.6% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 25.7%
Away Win: 18.7% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Birmingham vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 64.5% (Birmingham)
Draw: 22.2%
Away Win: 13.3% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.3%
No Goal: 54.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
Charlton vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Charlton)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.9% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Leicester vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.6% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 25.3% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Oxford vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Oxford)
Draw: 32.4%
Away Win: 32.2% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
QPR vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.5% (QPR)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 41.4% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Sheffield United vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.7% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 24.8% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Stoke vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.6% (Stoke)
Draw: 18.4%
Away Win: 15.0% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.5%
Under: 45.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 03, 2026
West Brom vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.2% (West Brom)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 23.9% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 03, 2026
Coventry vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 69.5% (Coventry)
Draw: 20.3%
Away Win: 10.2% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Hull vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.8% (Hull)
Draw: 17.9%
Away Win: 14.3% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.7%
Under: 45.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.6%
No Goal: 53.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.4% (Blackburn)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 44.5% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Derby vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.3% (Derby)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 37.2% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Ipswich vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.2% (Ipswich)
Draw: 21.9%
Away Win: 12.8% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Bristol City vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 35.8% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal