Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
March 10, 2026
Leicester vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 34.7% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 10, 2026
Wrexham vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.0% (Wrexham)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 20.8% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 10, 2026
Stoke vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.5% (Stoke)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 48.2% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 08, 2026
QPR vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.0% (QPR)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 40.0% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Derby vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 81.1% (Derby)
Draw: 11.3%
Away Win: 7.6% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.2%
Under: 44.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.4%
No Goal: 56.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Blackburn)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 31.3% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Hull vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.2% (Hull)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 41.8% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Charlton vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.1% (Charlton)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 38.8% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.0%
Under: 59.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.1%
No Goal: 51.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Bristol City vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.3% (Bristol City)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 41.2% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Ipswich vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 83.2% (Ipswich)
Draw: 11.2%
Away Win: 5.6% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.1%
Under: 44.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Sheffield United vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.0% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 26.0% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Swansea vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.2% (Swansea)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 25.4% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.7%
Under: 56.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 06, 2026
Preston vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.0% (Preston)
Draw: 27.4%
Away Win: 20.6% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.7%
No Goal: 54.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 03, 2026
Ipswich vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 76.5% (Ipswich)
Draw: 16.0%
Away Win: 7.4% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 02, 2026
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.1% (Birmingham)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 30.0% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Coventry vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.2% (Coventry)
Draw: 27.9%
Away Win: 22.9% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Derby vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Derby)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 31.4% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.2%
Under: 57.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Leicester vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.9% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Portsmouth vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 31.9% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.5%
No Goal: 42.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Charlton vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.9% (Charlton)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 36.6% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
QPR vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.5% (QPR)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 38.7% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.6%
Under: 50.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Ipswich vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.9% (Ipswich)
Draw: 20.7%
Away Win: 12.4% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Preston vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.1% (Preston)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 40.2% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Oxford vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.1% (Oxford)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 42.0% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 14.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 17.7%
Away Win: 67.5% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 27, 2026
Bristol City vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.7% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 32.5% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 25, 2026
Stoke vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.4% (Stoke)
Draw: 23.3%
Away Win: 15.3% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 41.4%
No Goal: 58.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 25, 2026
Sheffield United vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.5% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 32.9% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.9%
No Goal: 45.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 25, 2026
Norwich vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 79.3% (Norwich)
Draw: 12.2%
Away Win: 8.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.8%
Under: 47.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 41.4%
No Goal: 58.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 25, 2026
Millwall vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.3% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 32.5% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal