Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
April 21, 2026
Leicester vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.9% (Leicester)
Draw: 26.2%
Away Win: 20.9% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 21, 2026
Oxford vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Oxford)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 33.6% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 21, 2026
Norwich vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.3% (Norwich)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 23.8% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 21, 2026
Southampton vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 78.1% (Southampton)
Draw: 14.4%
Away Win: 7.5% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 21, 2026
Stoke vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Stoke)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 30.9% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 21, 2026
West Brom vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.4% (West Brom)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 25.4% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 19, 2026
Ipswich vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.2% (Ipswich)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 24.3% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Wrexham vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Wrexham)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 35.8% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Watford vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Watford)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 33.7% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.9%
No Goal: 45.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Swansea vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.2% (Swansea)
Draw: 26.6%
Away Win: 49.1% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 25.1%
Away Win: 51.4% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Preston vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.6% (Preston)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 38.4% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Hull vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Hull)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.6% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Bristol City vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.8% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 35.6% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Portsmouth vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.2% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 36.6% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Millwall vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.3% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 28.5% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Derby vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.5% (Derby)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 23.7% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 17, 2026
Blackburn vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 21.9% (Blackburn)
Draw: 24.5%
Away Win: 53.6% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 14, 2026
Southampton vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 71.7% (Southampton)
Draw: 17.9%
Away Win: 10.4% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 14, 2026
Portsmouth vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.9% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 26.6%
Away Win: 48.5% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 12, 2026
Birmingham vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.9% (Birmingham)
Draw: 26.5%
Away Win: 20.6% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
QPR vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.1% (QPR)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 27.1% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Stoke vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.1% (Stoke)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 24.8% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Southampton vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.0% (Southampton)
Draw: 23.9%
Away Win: 15.1% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Sheffield United vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.4% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 23.4% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Oxford vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.6% (Oxford)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 38.0% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.0% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 19.5%
Away Win: 12.5% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.8%
Under: 46.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Leicester vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.6% (Leicester)
Draw: 24.8%
Away Win: 19.6% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Charlton vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Charlton)
Draw: 33.0%
Away Win: 31.7% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Norwich vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.9% (Norwich)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 43.7% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.9%
No Goal: 44.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal