Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
November 25, 2025
Watford vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.5% (Watford)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 30.0% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 23, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 41.5% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.9%
No Goal: 46.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 22, 2025
Ipswich vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.2% (Ipswich)
Draw: 21.7%
Away Win: 13.0% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 22, 2025
Bristol City vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.9% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 29.7% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 22, 2025
Charlton vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.0% (Charlton)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 36.2% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Coventry vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.6% (Coventry)
Draw: 23.1%
Away Win: 15.3% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.9%
Under: 47.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Birmingham vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 64.1% (Birmingham)
Draw: 21.2%
Away Win: 14.8% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.6%
No Goal: 54.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Derby vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.6% (Derby)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 28.0% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Leicester vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.3% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 26.3% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.5%
Under: 49.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Oxford vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.9% (Oxford)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 44.1% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Portsmouth vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 34.5% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
QPR vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.8% (QPR)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 30.0% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.7%
No Goal: 45.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 21, 2025
Preston vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.8% (Preston)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 29.4% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Norwich vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.6% (Norwich)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 41.1% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Blackburn vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.1% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 29.0% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Hull vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Hull)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 32.6% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Millwall vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 30.0% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 34.0% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.1%
Under: 57.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Sheffield United vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.5% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 30.4% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 08, 2025
Stoke vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.4% (Stoke)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 42.8% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.3%
No Goal: 41.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 08, 2025
Swansea vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.2% (Swansea)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 42.1% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.9%
Under: 57.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
West Brom vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.1% (West Brom)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 19.3% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Wrexham vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.7% (Wrexham)
Draw: 31.9%
Away Win: 30.3% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 08, 2025
Southampton vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.5% (Southampton)
Draw: 21.0%
Away Win: 12.6% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 07, 2025
Watford vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.6% (Watford)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 36.2% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 05, 2025
Portsmouth vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.4% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.1% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 05, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 40.4% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 05, 2025
QPR vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.0% (QPR)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 37.4% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.6%
Under: 57.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 05, 2025
Preston vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.2% (Preston)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 30.1% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 04, 2025
Birmingham vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.9% (Birmingham)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 20.7% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal