Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Hamburg Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
37%
VS
Hamburg
Away Team
36%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 4th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 1)
Hamburg
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 4 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.09
# Clean Sheets:
0
Hamburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.13
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hamburg is set to be a closely contested battle, with a slight edge given to the home team, Augsburg, who have a 37.0% probability of winning. Hamburg follows closely with a 36.0% chance, while a draw stands at 26.0%. Both teams are languishing near the bottom of the table, with Hamburg currently in 13th place and Augsburg in 15th, both eager to secure points to climb out of the relegation zone. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% probability of that outcome.
Match Analysis
Augsburg enters this match on the back of a challenging run, having lost all three of their recent fixtures. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding a total of 10 goals over these games, including a heavy 6-0 home defeat to RB Leipzig. Despite scoring twice away at Stuttgart, they've struggled to convert their chances effectively, as evidenced by their average expected goals of 0.948 in the last five games.
Hamburg, while slightly better off, has also faced a tough period, with a single draw and two losses in their last three matches. They've found it hard to hit the back of the net, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their ability to hold Dortmund to a 1-1 draw at home shows they can compete against stronger sides. Hamburg's defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game recently, a trend they will need to address against Augsburg.
Final Prediction
Augsburg has a slight edge due to their home advantage and slightly higher probability of winning. Their ability to find the net more frequently than Hamburg could be pivotal in this encounter. A key factor to watch during the game will be Augsburg's defensive organization, as their recent form suggests potential for improvement, which could be decisive against a Hamburg side struggling for goals.