Stuttgart

Bundesliga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1620 · #3 Bundesliga On script Updated May 10, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #5 of 18 53.4 expected pts · pre-season forecast

League title 7.0%
Champions League 40.2%
Europa League 18.1%
Relegation playoff 1.3%
Relegation 1.2%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.

Full Bundesliga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Stuttgart?

On script 2025-26 · 28 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Stuttgart's results were 10.1% easier to call than the Bundesliga average. How this is measured.

MarketStuttgartLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 60.7% 55.6%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 75.0% 63.9%
Both teams to score 60.7% 59.9%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2025-26 Bundesliga #3 1482 1633 1620
2024-25 Bundesliga #8 1480 1572 1523
2023-24 Bundesliga #2 1524 1679 1679
2022-23 Bundesliga #12 1498 1500 1454
2021-22 Bundesliga #14 1523 1523 1435
2020-21 Bundesliga #12 1471 1565 1468
2019-20 2. Bundesliga #6 1518 1619 1543
2018-19 Bundesliga #15 1482 1482 1398
2017-18 Bundesliga #2 1480 1630 1630
2015-16 Bundesliga #17 1467 1543 1366
2014-15 Bundesliga #10 1502 1502 1471

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches — model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 09, 2026 vs Leverkusen W Stuttgart 41.4% · draw 24.2% W ✓
May 02, 2026 at Hoffenheim L Stuttgart 30.2% · draw 23.0% D ✗
Apr 26, 2026 vs Werder Bremen W Stuttgart 77.2% · draw 12.4% D ✗
Apr 19, 2026 at Bayern Munich L Stuttgart 9.5% · draw 11.5% L ✓
Apr 12, 2026 vs Hamburg W Stuttgart 73.1% · draw 14.3% W ✓
Apr 04, 2026 vs Dortmund W Stuttgart 51.0% · draw 22.6% L ✗
Mar 22, 2026 at Augsburg W Stuttgart 58.4% · draw 19.8% W ✓
Mar 15, 2026 vs RB Leipzig W Stuttgart 55.4% · draw 21.9% W ✓
Mar 07, 2026 at Mainz W Stuttgart 55.3% · draw 21.0% D ✗
Mar 01, 2026 vs Wolfsburg W Stuttgart 75.2% · draw 13.3% W ✓

Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/stuttgart">Bundesliga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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