Bundesliga 2024-2025: M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim Prediction

M'gladbach

Home Team
55%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
22%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 31 23 6 2 90 29 61 75
2 Leverkusen 31 19 10 2 66 35 31 67
3 Ein Frankfurt 31 16 7 8 62 42 20 55
4 Freiburg 31 15 6 10 44 47 -3 51
5 RB Leipzig 31 13 10 8 48 42 6 49
6 Dortmund 31 14 6 11 60 49 11 48
7 Mainz 31 13 8 10 48 39 9 47
8 Werder Bremen 31 13 7 11 48 54 -6 46
9 M'gladbach 31 13 5 13 51 50 1 44
10 Augsburg 31 11 10 10 33 42 -9 43
11 Stuttgart 31 11 8 12 56 51 5 41
12 Wolfsburg 31 10 9 12 53 48 5 39
13 Union Berlin 31 9 9 13 31 45 -14 36
14 St Pauli 31 8 7 16 26 36 -10 31
15 Hoffenheim 31 7 9 15 40 58 -18 30
16 Heidenheim 31 7 4 20 33 60 -27 25
17 Holstein Kiel 31 5 7 19 45 74 -29 22
18 Bochum 31 5 6 20 30 63 -33 21

Recent Trends

M'gladbach ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 0)

Hoffenheim ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 1

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, M'gladbach is predicted to emerge victorious with a 55.0% probability of winning. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 66.0% probability of over 2.5 goals. M'gladbach currently holds the 9th position in the league standings, whereas Hoffenheim is struggling at 15th place, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

M'gladbach enters this match on the back of a three-game losing streak, having suffered defeats against Holstein Kiel, Dortmund, and Freiburg. Despite scoring in each of these encounters, their defensive frailties were evident as they conceded a total of nine goals. This defensive vulnerability is reflected in their advanced metrics, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game in the last five matches. On the other hand, Hoffenheim's recent form has been slightly better, with a notable 2-0 victory against Mainz breaking their streak of losses against Dortmund and Freiburg. Hoffenheim's attacking prowess has been more effective, averaging 1.4 goals per game in recent fixtures. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.6 goals, as highlighted by their advanced metrics.

Final Prediction

M'gladbach is favored to win due to their stronger position in the league and the slight edge in predicted probabilities. The key factor to watch will be whether M'gladbach can tighten their defense and capitalize on Hoffenheim's defensive weaknesses, making it an intriguing match for fans focused on high-scoring potential.