Bundesliga 2025-2026: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Werder Bremen

Home Team
38%
VS

Wolfsburg

Away Team
36%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 9 0 0 33 4 29 27
2 RB Leipzig 9 7 1 1 19 10 9 22
3 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 15 6 9 20
4 Stuttgart 9 6 0 3 14 10 4 18
5 Leverkusen 9 5 2 2 18 14 4 17
6 Hoffenheim 9 5 1 3 18 15 3 16
7 FC Koln 9 4 2 3 16 12 4 14
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 22 19 3 14
9 Werder Bremen 9 3 3 3 13 17 -4 12
10 Union Berlin 9 3 2 4 11 15 -4 11
11 Freiburg 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
12 Wolfsburg 9 2 2 5 11 16 -5 8
13 Hamburg 9 2 2 5 8 15 -7 8
14 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 12 21 -9 7
15 St Pauli 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
16 M'gladbach 9 1 3 5 10 18 -8 6
17 Mainz 9 1 2 6 10 17 -7 5
18 Heidenheim 9 1 2 6 8 17 -9 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45
# Clean Sheets: 2

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Wolfsburg, the home side, Werder Bremen, is predicted to come out on top, with a probability of 38.0% for securing a victory. The expectations point towards a high-scoring affair, with a 56.0% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals. Currently, Werder Bremen sits at 9th place in the league standings, while Wolfsburg trails behind in the 12th position, making this an intriguing mid-table encounter.

Match Analysis

Werder Bremen enters the match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They have secured a win, a loss, and a draw in their last three encounters, showcasing their resilience with a solid draw against Mainz and a narrow victory over Union Berlin. Their ability to find the net has been consistent, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match in the past five games, while also maintaining two clean sheets, indicating a relatively stable defense. The advanced metrics suggest that Bremen has been slightly underperforming their expected goals, hinting at potential for improvement. On the other hand, Wolfsburg has faced a tougher time recently, alternating between a win and two losses in their last three matches. Their recent 3-0 defeat against Stuttgart highlights potential defensive vulnerabilities. Wolfsburg's attacking capabilities mirror Bremen's, with an identical average of 1.25 goals scored per match in their last five outings. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding 1.25 goals per game, and their expected goals metrics suggest a slightly leaky backline.

Final Prediction

Given their current form and advanced metrics, Werder Bremen seems to have a slight edge in this fixture, particularly when playing at home. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could prove crucial against a Wolfsburg side struggling defensively. A key factor to watch will be Bremen's ability to capitalize on their expected goals, which could be a pivotal element in securing all three points in this encounter.