La Liga 2024-2025: Alaves vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
13%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
75%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Alaves ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 2)

Ath Madrid ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.11
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Alaves and Athletico Madrid is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 75% probability of an away team victory. Athletico Madrid, currently sitting at 3rd place in La Liga, is strongly favored over 17th-placed Alaves. Additionally, the match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, given the 45% probability for over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Alaves has had a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory against Sociedad, managed a 1-1 draw away at Sevilla, but fell to a 0-1 defeat at home against Real Madrid. With an average of 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their last five matches, Alaves' scoring struggles are evident, although they have managed to keep two clean sheets during this period. Athletico Madrid, on the other hand, has showcased a more positive run, winning two of their last three matches. They convincingly defeated Vallecano 3-0 and edged out Valladolid 4-2 at home, although they did suffer a surprising 0-1 loss to Las Palmas away. Averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded over the last five games, Athletico Madrid's attacking prowess and defensive resilience are evident, coupled with an expected goals metric of 1.266 favoring their offensive threats.

Final Prediction

Athletico Madrid's higher league standing and recent form, including their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity, give them a decisive edge against Alaves. The key factor to watch will be Athletico Madrid's attack, as they look to capitalize on Alaves' recent scoring woes to secure the predicted victory.