La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Ath Madrid
Home Team
95%
VS
Sevilla
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Espanol | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Elche | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Getafe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Sociedad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Valencia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 | Girona | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Ath Madrid
- Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 5 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 2)
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Ath Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.92
# Clean Sheets:
2
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.83
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Ath Madrid and Sevilla is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a staggering 95.0% probability of Ath Madrid securing a victory. This prediction is further supported by the expectation of the match having over 2.5 goals, with a 54.0% probability. Ath Madrid currently sits comfortably in 4th place on the La Liga table, while Sevilla finds themselves in 11th position, struggling to break into the top half.
Match Analysis
Ath Madrid enters this fixture on the back of a solid run, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. Their recent victory against Betis, where they scored two and conceded none, highlights their defensive resilience and attacking prowess. Over the past five games, Ath Madrid has averaged 2.4 goals per match while maintaining a robust defense, conceding just 1 goal on average and securing two clean sheets. Their expected goals statistics further underscore their offensive efficiency, with a notable 2.634 expected goals per game.
Conversely, Sevilla's form has been erratic, with two losses and a single emphatic win over Barcelona in their last three outings. Their defeat against Mallorca, where they conceded three goals, raises concerns about their defensive vulnerabilities. Sevilla's recent performances have seen them average 1.6 goals scored per game, but their defense has leaked 1.2 goals on average. The advanced metrics paint a challenging picture, with Sevilla's expected goals lingering at 0.848, hinting at inefficiencies in converting chances.
Final Prediction
Ath Madrid's strong home advantage and superior recent form give them a clear edge in this matchup. Their ability to consistently score while maintaining a solid defense makes them formidable at their home ground. Watch out for Ath Madrid's attacking flair, which could prove decisive against a Sevilla side that has struggled defensively in recent games.