La Liga 2024-2025: Barcelona vs Celta Prediction - 19 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Barcelona

Home Team
92%
VS

Celta

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 70%
Under 2.5: 30%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Barcelona W D W W W

  • Last Match: W vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Girona (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 4 - 2)

Celta L W D W W

  • Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.52
# Clean Sheets: 2

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.01
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Barcelona and Celta is heavily skewed in favor of the home team, with Barcelona having a staggering 92.0% probability of winning. This is juxtaposed against a meager 3.0% chance for Celta to clinch a victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 5.0%. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 70.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Barcelona currently sits at the top of the La Liga standings, while Celta is positioned at 7th.

Match Analysis

Barcelona comes into this fixture with a strong recent form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They managed a narrow away win against Leganes and showcased their offensive prowess with a 4-1 home win against Girona. Their defense has been equally impressive, conceding only two goals across these matches. Advanced metrics reveal that Barcelona has been averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings, while conceding a mere 0.4 on average. Their expected goals (xG) metrics also suggest they are creating and preventing quality chances. Celta, on the other hand, has had a mixed run in their recent fixtures. They secured a win against Mallorca but suffered a home defeat to Espanol and were held to a draw by Las Palmas. Despite these inconsistencies, Celta's advanced metrics indicate they are capable of scoring, with an average of 1.4 goals in their last five games. However, their defensive frailties are apparent, having conceded an average of 1.2 goals in the same period.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's dominance in recent performances and their top position in the league standings give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net while maintaining a solid defense makes them formidable opponents, especially at home. A key factor to watch will be Barcelona's attacking efficiency against Celta's defense, which could dictate the flow and outcome of the match.

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