Espanyol

La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1448 · #18 La Liga 2W-2D-4L · 8 pts In line Updated Oct 12, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #15 of 20 41.5 expected pts · currently 8 pts after 8 matches

League title 0.0%
Champions League places 0.1%
Europa League 1.7%
Relegation 27.7%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Espanyol?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 30 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Espanyol's results were 3.3% harder to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.

MarketEspanyolLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 46.7% 51.8%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 53.3% 58.2%
Both teams to score 53.3% 55.6%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 La Liga #18 1522 1522 1448
2025-26 La Liga #17 1518 1598 1426
2024-25 La Liga #12 1482 1549 1466
2023-24 Segunda División #1 1601 1676 1629
2022-23 La Liga #19 1502 1502 1423
2021-22 La Liga #18 1502 1516 1406
2020-21 Segunda División #4 1523 1697 1625
2019-20 La Liga #20 1467 1471 1298
2018-19 La Liga #4 1502 1572 1566
2017-18 La Liga #8 1502 1532 1532
2016-17 La Liga #10 1480 1563 1509
2015-16 La Liga #13 1518 1518 1448
2014-15 La Liga #9 1502 1541 1506

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 09, 2026 at Malaga W Espanyol 38.9% · draw 27.2% D ✗
Sep 18, 2026 vs Elche W Espanyol 57.1% · draw 23.1% L ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/espanyol">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):

<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/la_liga"
        width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
        title="La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/espanyol">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>
Preview widget All widgets