Espanyol

La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1471 · #15 La Liga 1W-0D-2L · 3 pts In line Updated Sep 03, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #15 of 20 44.8 expected pts · currently 3 pts after 3 matches

League title 0.0%
Champions League places 1.7%
Europa League 4.4%
Relegation 23.5%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Espanyol?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Espanyol's results were 3.7% harder to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.

MarketEspanyolLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 43.8% 51.1%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 50.0% 58.6%
Both teams to score 53.1% 56.7%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 La Liga #15 1522 1522 1471
2025-26 La Liga #17 1518 1598 1426
2024-25 La Liga #12 1482 1549 1466
2023-24 Segunda División #1 1601 1676 1629
2022-23 La Liga #19 1502 1502 1423
2021-22 La Liga #18 1502 1516 1406
2020-21 Segunda División #4 1523 1697 1625
2019-20 La Liga #20 1467 1471 1298
2018-19 La Liga #4 1502 1572 1566
2017-18 La Liga #8 1502 1532 1532
2016-17 La Liga #10 1480 1563 1509
2015-16 La Liga #13 1518 1518 1448
2014-15 La Liga #9 1502 1541 1506

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 17, 2026 at Osasuna L Espanyol 21.1% · draw 21.0% W ✗
May 13, 2026 vs Athletic Bilbao L Espanyol 24.7% · draw 21.7% W ✗
May 09, 2026 at Sevilla L Espanyol 25.1% · draw 23.6% L ✓
May 03, 2026 vs Real Madrid L Espanyol 19.2% · draw 18.2% L ✓
Apr 27, 2026 vs Levante W Espanyol 52.3% · draw 23.2% D ✗
Apr 23, 2026 at Rayo Vallecano L Espanyol 20.3% · draw 20.3% L ✓
Apr 11, 2026 at Barcelona L Espanyol 5.9% · draw 8.0% L ✓
Apr 04, 2026 at Real Betis L Espanyol 22.9% · draw 22.1% D ✗
Mar 21, 2026 vs Getafe W Espanyol 45.1% · draw 25.8% L ✗
Mar 15, 2026 at Mallorca W Espanyol 44.3% · draw 24.2% L ✗

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit: 

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/espanyol">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)

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