La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Oviedo Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
99%
VS

Oviedo

Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 72%
Under 2.5: 28%
Goal: 61%
No Goal: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 20 16 1 3 54 22 32 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 43 17 26 48
3 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 37 19 18 41
4 Ath Madrid 20 12 5 3 35 17 18 41
5 Espanol 20 10 4 6 23 22 1 34
6 Betis 20 8 8 4 33 25 8 32
7 Celta 20 8 8 4 28 20 8 32
8 Elche 20 5 9 6 27 26 1 24
9 Sociedad 20 6 6 8 26 28 -2 24
10 Betis 20 7 3 10 19 28 -9 24
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 20 34 -14 24
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 21 24 -3 22
13 Vallecano 20 5 7 8 16 25 -9 22
14 Sevilla 20 6 3 11 26 32 -6 21
15 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 24 30 -6 21
16 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15 26 -11 21
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 19 31 -12 20
18 Alaves 20 5 4 11 16 25 -9 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 21 32 -11 14
20 Oviedo 20 2 7 11 11 31 -20 13

Recent Trends

Barcelona ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 5 - 3)

Oviedo ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.05
# Clean Sheets: 3

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.20
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Oviedo is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, with a staggering 99.0% probability of a Barcelona victory. The chances of a draw stand at 1.0%, while Oviedo's odds of winning are virtually nonexistent. As the league leaders, Barcelona sit comfortably at the top of La Liga, while Oviedo languishes at the bottom in 20th place. With a 72.0% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an action-packed encounter.

Match Analysis

Barcelona enters this match with a strong momentum, having won two of their last three matches, including victories over Espanyol and Villarreal, both by a 2-0 margin. Their only recent blemish came against Sociedad, where they suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat. Despite this slip, Barcelona continues to demonstrate their offensive prowess, averaging 3.0 goals per game in their last five matches while maintaining a solid defense with an average of just 0.6 goals conceded. Their ability to keep clean sheets in three of their last five games further cements their defensive strength. In stark contrast, Oviedo has struggled to find form, managing only two draws and a loss in their last three outings. They have been able to score an average of just 0.6 goals per game, while conceding a worrying 2.2 goals on average in their last five matches. This disparity highlights the uphill battle Oviedo faces as they attempt to climb from the relegation zone. Additionally, Oviedo's expected goals conceded metric of 2.198 aligns closely with their actual performance, indicating genuine defensive vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's high probability of securing a win is grounded in their superior performance metrics and league standing. Their attacking firepower and resilient defense provide a significant edge over Oviedo. A key factor to watch during the game will be Barcelona's ability to capitalize on Oviedo's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair as suggested by the likelihood of over 2.5 goals.