La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Vallecano Prediction
Elche
Home Team
29%
VS
Vallecano
Away Team
47%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 34 |
| 5 | Espanol | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Betis | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Betis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 23 |
| 8 | Celta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Getafe | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Elche | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Alaves | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Sociedad | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Valencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Girona | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 10 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Elche
- Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 1)
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Elche
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
1
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming La Liga clash between Elche and Vallecano, Vallecano is favored to secure a victory with a 47.0% probability. Meanwhile, Elche has a 29.0% chance of winning, and there's a 24.0% likelihood of a draw. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, as suggested by the 47.0% probability. Currently, Elche sits at 11th place in the league standings, while Vallecano is close behind at 13th.
Match Analysis
Elche's recent form has been inconsistent, with a notable victory over Girona at home but losses to Mallorca and Getafe on the road. Their offensive capability has shown promise, scoring an average of 1.6 goals over their last five matches. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game, which could be a concern against Vallecano.
Vallecano, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net with just 0.8 average goals scored in their last five encounters. Their defense, however, has held strong with three clean sheets in the same period, indicating resilience at the back. The team's expected goals metrics suggest they may not be realizing their full potential in front of goal, with an average of 1.102 expected goals scored.
Final Prediction
Vallecano's edge in this match stems from their solid defensive performances, as indicated by their clean sheets in recent games. This defensive stability, combined with Elche's inconsistent form, gives Vallecano a slight advantage. A key factor to watch will be Vallecano's ability to capitalize on their defensive solidity and potentially exploit any gaps in Elche's defense to secure the win.