Getafe

La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1472 · #13 La Liga 2W-2D-4L · 8 pts In line Updated Oct 12, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #14 of 20 44.3 expected pts · currently 8 pts after 8 matches

League title 0.0%
Champions League places 0.4%
Europa League 3.6%
Relegation 16.7%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Getafe?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Getafe's results were 7.0% harder to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.

MarketGetafeLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 48.3% 51.8%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 72.4% 58.2%
Both teams to score 31.0% 55.6%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 La Liga #13 1478 1498 1472
2025-26 La Liga #11 1533 1558 1486
2024-25 La Liga #15 1502 1546 1420
2023-24 La Liga #17 1498 1537 1380
2022-23 La Liga #11 1466 1496 1469
2021-22 La Liga #13 1482 1509 1460
2020-21 La Liga #18 1520 1542 1400
2019-20 La Liga #12 1482 1620 1465
2018-19 La Liga #5 1480 1600 1552
2017-18 La Liga #9 1502 1542 1531
2015-16 La Liga #18 1482 1511 1400
2014-15 La Liga #17 1480 1499 1362

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 10, 2026 at Barcelona L Getafe 2.0% · draw 4.9% L ✓
Sep 20, 2026 vs Malaga W Getafe 69.5% · draw 17.7% W ✓

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