Getafe
La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #6 of 20 53.2 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #7 of 20 in La Liga 51 pts · 15W–6D–17L · GD -6
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Getafe?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Getafe's results were 7.1% harder to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Getafe | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 43.8% | 51.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 71.9% | 58.6% |
| Both teams to score | 34.4% | 56.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | La Liga | #11 | 1533 | 1558 | 1486 |
| 2024-25 | La Liga | #15 | 1502 | 1546 | 1420 |
| 2023-24 | La Liga | #17 | 1498 | 1537 | 1380 |
| 2022-23 | La Liga | #11 | 1466 | 1496 | 1469 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #13 | 1482 | 1509 | 1460 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #18 | 1520 | 1542 | 1400 |
| 2019-20 | La Liga | #12 | 1482 | 1620 | 1465 |
| 2018-19 | La Liga | #5 | 1480 | 1600 | 1552 |
| 2017-18 | La Liga | #9 | 1502 | 1542 | 1531 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #18 | 1482 | 1511 | 1400 |
| 2014-15 | La Liga | #17 | 1480 | 1499 | 1362 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | at Elche | L Getafe 29.2% · draw 24.9% | L ✓ |
| May 13, 2026 | vs Mallorca | W Getafe 51.9% · draw 23.4% | W ✓ |
| May 10, 2026 | at Real Oviedo | L Getafe 29.5% · draw 25.8% | D ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Rayo Vallecano | L Getafe 36.7% · draw 25.3% | L ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Barcelona | L Getafe 18.2% · draw 17.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | at Real Sociedad | L Getafe 17.8% · draw 18.5% | W ✗ |
| Apr 13, 2026 | at Levante | L Getafe 27.9% · draw 25.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Athletic Bilbao | L Getafe 35.2% · draw 26.1% | W ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Espanyol | L Getafe 29.1% · draw 25.8% | W ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Atlético Madrid | L Getafe 6.6% · draw 8.7% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/getafe">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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