Elche
La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #15 of 20 47.5 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #13 of 20 in La Liga 43 pts · 10W–13D–15L · GD -8
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Elche?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Elche's results were 5.1% easier to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Elche | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 53.1% | 51.1% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 58.6% |
| Both teams to score | 65.6% | 56.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | La Liga | #12 | 1498 | 1545 | 1467 |
| 2024-25 | Segunda División | #3 | 1432 | 1665 | 1631 |
| 2023-24 | Segunda División | #21 | 1503 | 1607 | 1445 |
| 2022-23 | La Liga | #20 | 1478 | 1478 | 1413 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #14 | 1498 | 1508 | 1445 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #14 | 1466 | 1535 | 1424 |
| 2019-20 | Segunda División | #8 | 1485 | 1583 | 1544 |
| 2018-19 | Segunda División | #12 | 1497 | 1557 | 1526 |
| 2014-15 | La Liga | #12 | 1478 | 1508 | 1454 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Getafe | W Elche 45.8% · draw 24.9% | W ✓ |
| May 12, 2026 | at Real Betis | L Elche 18.2% · draw 18.9% | L ✓ |
| May 09, 2026 | vs Alaves | W Elche 64.3% · draw 18.3% | D ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | at Celta Vigo | L Elche 16.2% · draw 17.3% | L ✓ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Real Oviedo | L Elche 27.5% · draw 24.4% | W ✗ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | vs Atlético Madrid | L Elche 15.3% · draw 15.3% | W ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Valencia | L Elche 32.3% · draw 24.0% | W ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at Rayo Vallecano | L Elche 17.3% · draw 18.2% | L ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Mallorca | W Elche 51.8% · draw 22.8% | W ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Real Madrid | L Elche 6.0% · draw 8.1% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/elche">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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