La Liga 2024-2025: Leganes vs Betis Prediction

Leganes

Home Team
12%
VS

Betis

Away Team
75%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.29
# Clean Sheets: 1

Betis

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leganes and Betis is expected to tilt heavily in favor of Betis, with a predicted 75.0% probability of them securing a win. This prediction is supported by their current standing in La Liga, where Betis finds themselves in 6th place, a stark contrast to Leganes, who are fighting relegation in 17th place. Additionally, the match is likely to see under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of exceeding that mark.

Match Analysis

Leganes' recent performances have been a mixed bag. They managed a narrow 1-0 victory at home against Getafe, which was a bright spot amid losses to Celta and Sociedad. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals over their last five games, while only managing to score 1.4 on average. This vulnerability at the back, coupled with only one clean sheet in recent outings, poses a significant challenge against a formidable Betis side. Betis, on the other hand, are riding a wave of confidence with three consecutive wins, including an impressive victory over Real Madrid. They have been efficient both in front of goal and in defense, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding just 1.2 in their last five matches. The team’s ability to maintain two clean sheets in recent games highlights their defensive solidity, making them a tough nut to crack for Leganes. Moreover, Betis' expected goals metrics suggest that they are creating more quality chances compared to Leganes, which could be pivotal in deciding the outcome.

Final Prediction

Betis is poised to capitalize on their recent form and superior league position to secure a win against Leganes. Their consistent performances against tougher opponents, coupled with Leganes' defensive frailties, give them a significant edge. A key factor to watch will be Betis' ability to maintain their defensive discipline, which could thwart any attacking threats posed by Leganes.