La Liga 2024-2025: Mallorca vs Celta Prediction - 5 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Mallorca

Home Team
25%
VS

Celta

Away Team
56%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Mallorca L W D D D

  • Last Match: L vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)

Celta D W W D W

  • Last Match: D vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.05
# Clean Sheets: 0

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.05
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

As Mallorca prepares to host Celta, the odds are stacked in favor of the away team with a 56.0% probability of victory. In contrast, Mallorca stands a 25.0% chance of securing a home win. The likelihood of a draw stands at 19.0%. Moreover, the game is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals. Currently, Celta sits at 8th place in La Liga, with Mallorca closely trailing in 9th position, both teams sharing 40 points but differentiated by goal difference.

Match Analysis

Mallorca's recent form has been a mixed bag. They recorded a narrow 2-1 home victory against Espanol, a 1-1 draw away at Ath Bilbao, and a 0-1 loss at Valencia. Averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, their offensive output has been moderate, though their defense has held relatively firm, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal per game. Despite this, they have not managed a clean sheet in these encounters, suggesting vulnerabilities in their defense. Celta, on the other hand, has shown resilience and efficacy, winning 1-0 against Valladolid away and 2-1 at home against Leganes, alongside a 1-1 draw at home against Las Palmas. With an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded in their last five matches, Celta's performances have been consistent, highlighted by their ability to secure two clean sheets. Their expected goals metrics also reflect a balanced approach, with a slight edge in defensive solidity over Mallorca.

Final Prediction

Celta's edge in this matchup can be attributed to their recent solid defensive displays and ability to eke out victories. Despite Mallorca's ability to find the back of the net, Celta's defensive discipline and recent form suggest they are likely to seize the three points. A key factor to watch will be Celta's ability to maintain their defensive structure, which could be decisive in securing them the win.

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