La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
40%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
33%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 11 10 0 1 26 10 16 30
2 Barcelona 11 8 1 2 28 13 15 25
3 Villarreal 11 7 2 2 22 10 12 23
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 21 10 11 22
5 Betis 11 5 4 2 18 12 6 19
6 Espanol 11 5 3 3 15 13 2 18
7 Getafe 11 5 2 4 12 13 -1 17
8 Alaves 11 4 3 4 11 10 1 15
9 Elche 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
10 Vallecano 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Betis 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
12 Celta 11 2 7 2 13 14 -1 13
13 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 17 19 -2 13
14 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
16 Levante 11 2 3 6 15 20 -5 9
17 Mallorca 11 2 3 6 11 18 -7 9
18 Valencia 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
19 Oviedo 11 2 2 7 7 19 -12 8
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 10 24 -14 7

Recent Trends

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Barcelona (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)

Osasuna ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 1

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Osasuna is predicted to edge in favor of the home team, Sevilla, with a 40.0% probability of winning. While the match is anticipated to be low-scoring, with a 44.0% probability of staying under 2.5 goals, fans can expect some action on the score sheet given a 52.0% chance of both teams finding the net. In the current La Liga standings, Sevilla sits at 13th, whereas Osasuna finds themselves in 15th place, both eager for points to climb the table and distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Sevilla enters this fixture on the back of a challenging run, having lost their last three games against formidable opponents, including Ath Madrid and Sociedad. Despite their struggles, Sevilla has managed to score in two of those encounters, demonstrating their ability to threaten despite their defensive frailties. Their recent performances have seen them concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, a statistic they will need to improve upon to secure a victory. Osasuna's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a goalless draw against Oviedo being their only respite from consecutive defeats. Offensively, they have been less prolific, averaging just 0.2 goals per game in their last five outings. However, defensively, they have been slightly more resilient than Sevilla, conceding 1.2 goals on average. The advanced metrics suggest that while both teams have struggled defensively, Osasuna's expected goals conceded figure is marginally higher, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Sevilla may look to exploit.

Final Prediction

Sevilla's potential edge in this fixture comes from their superior goal-scoring capability, despite recent losses. Their higher average goals scored compared to Osasuna could be a decisive factor, especially if they can tighten their defense. A key aspect to watch will be whether Sevilla can capitalize on Osasuna's defensive lapses to secure a much-needed home victory.