La Liga 2024-2025: Valladolid vs Celta Prediction

Valladolid

Home Team
11%
VS

Celta

Away Team
77%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 38%
Under 2.5: 62%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Recent Trends

Valladolid ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 7)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)

Celta ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 3 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.16
# Clean Sheets: 0

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Valladolid and Celta, the odds heavily favor the away team, Celta, with a 77.0% chance of victory. Valladolid's chances stand at a mere 11.0%, while a draw is considered a 12.0% possibility. Both teams are at opposite ends of the table, with Celta in 9th place with 36 points, while Valladolid languishes at the bottom in 20th place with just 16 points. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 38.0% probability of exceeding that threshold.

Match Analysis

Valladolid's recent form has been dismal, highlighted by a heavy 7-1 defeat against Athletic Bilbao. They managed a single draw against Las Palmas and suffered another loss to Valencia. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Valladolid's defensive frailties are further underlined by their lack of clean sheets in the same period. Celta, on the other hand, brings a more optimistic form into the game. They secured victories against Leganes and Osasuna and drew against Girona. Celta has been more efficient in front of goal, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Their defensive record mirrors Valladolid's with 1.6 goals conceded on average, but they have managed one clean sheet, showcasing a slightly more robust defense.

Final Prediction

Celta's superior league position and recent form give them a clear edge in this matchup. Their ability to score more consistently and maintain a slightly tighter defense makes them favorites. A key factor to watch will be Celta's attack against Valladolid's vulnerable defense, as it could be the decisive element in securing the predicted away win.