Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Man United Prediction
Liverpool
Home Team
52%
VS
Man United
Away Team
25%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Man City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Man United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 0)
Man United
- Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.93
# Clean Sheets:
2
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.15
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The highly anticipated clash between Liverpool and Manchester United at Anfield is expected to tip in favor of the home team, Liverpool, with a 52.0% probability of winning. The game is also predicted to see over 2.5 goals, with a 52.0% chance of this outcome. Currently, Liverpool sits in 2nd place in the Premier League standings, while Manchester United is at 10th place, indicating a significant gap between the two rivals in terms of recent league performances.
Match Analysis
Liverpool's recent form has been somewhat mixed, with two losses and one win in their last three fixtures. They secured a victory against Everton at home, but suffered away defeats to both Chelsea and Crystal Palace. Despite these setbacks, Liverpool's offensive capabilities remain strong, as they have averaged 2.33 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding only an average of 1.0 goal per game, and have managed to keep two clean sheets in the same period.
Manchester United, on the other hand, has experienced a more inconsistent run. They have won two of their last three games, including a notable victory against Chelsea, but their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game in their last five matches. Although they have scored fewer goals on average than Liverpool, with 0.67 goals per game, their expected goals metric suggests they could be more threatening in attack than their recent scorelines indicate.
Final Prediction
Liverpool's overall stronger position in the league and their superior recent offensive performance give them the edge in this matchup. Manchester United's leaky defense will be a key factor to watch, as Liverpool's potent attack could exploit any vulnerabilities. Fans can expect a high-energy encounter with potential for plenty of goals, especially given both teams' predisposition to score and concede frequently.