Crystal Palace
Premier League · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #15 of 20 46.3 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Premier League simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #15 of 20 in Premier League 45 pts · 11W–12D–15L · GD -10
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Premier League simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Crystal Palace?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Crystal Palace's results were 7.7% easier to call than the Premier League average. How this is measured.
| Market | Crystal Palace | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 46.9% | 47.8% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 56.2% | 52.8% |
| Both teams to score | 46.9% | 53.5% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Premier League | #15 | 1502 | 1574 | 1444 |
| 2024-25 | Premier League | #7 | 1482 | 1570 | 1570 |
| 2023-24 | Premier League | #5 | 1529 | 1570 | 1570 |
| 2022-23 | Premier League | #11 | 1467 | 1510 | 1474 |
| 2021-22 | Premier League | #8 | 1478 | 1554 | 1519 |
| 2020-21 | Premier League | #15 | 1518 | 1549 | 1412 |
| 2019-20 | Premier League | #17 | 1498 | 1546 | 1394 |
| 2018-19 | Premier League | #4 | 1533 | 1555 | 1555 |
| 2017-18 | Premier League | #7 | 1466 | 1525 | 1525 |
| 2016-17 | Premier League | #12 | 1471 | 1530 | 1468 |
| 2015-16 | Premier League | #18 | 1533 | 1556 | 1395 |
| 2014-15 | Premier League | #9 | 1482 | 1558 | 1512 |
| 2012-13 | Championship | #14 | 1406 | 1631 | 1498 |
| 2011-12 | Championship | #19 | 1415 | 1540 | 1407 |
| 2010-11 | Championship | #18 | 1492 | 1492 | 1421 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #18 | 1453 | 1579 | 1456 |
| 2008-09 | Championship | #19 | 1584 | 1613 | 1445 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #2 | 1583 | 1646 | 1613 |
| 2006-07 | Championship | #7 | 1574 | 1605 | 1562 |
| 2005-06 | Championship | #6 | 1471 | 1627 | 1568 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | at Brentford | L Crystal Palace 21.3% · draw 21.1% | D ✗ |
| May 13, 2026 | at Manchester City | L Crystal Palace 6.7% · draw 8.8% | L ✓ |
| May 10, 2026 | vs Everton | W Crystal Palace 54.7% · draw 22.2% | D ✗ |
| May 03, 2026 | at Bournemouth | L Crystal Palace 21.1% · draw 20.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Liverpool | L Crystal Palace 12.7% · draw 14.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 20, 2026 | vs West Ham | W Crystal Palace 61.8% · draw 19.3% | D ✗ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Newcastle | W Crystal Palace 42.0% · draw 24.6% | W ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Leeds | W Crystal Palace 46.6% · draw 24.6% | D ✗ |
| Mar 05, 2026 | at Tottenham | L Crystal Palace 34.7% · draw 24.6% | W ✗ |
| Mar 01, 2026 | at Manchester United | L Crystal Palace 24.9% · draw 23.0% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Premier League title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/crystal-palace">Premier League title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/premier_league"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Premier League title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/crystal-palace">Premier League title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>