Premier League 2025-2026: Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction
Sunderland
Home Team
6%
VS
Arsenal
Away Team
87%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 0)
Arsenal
- Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.93
# Clean Sheets:
2
Arsenal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.76
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
Arsenal is predicted to triumph over Sunderland with an impressive 87% probability of victory. The game is anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 42% chance of exceeding that mark, suggesting a likely low-scoring affair. Currently, Arsenal holds the top spot in the Premier League with 25 points, while Sunderland is in a respectable fourth place with 18 points, making this an intriguing clash between two top-five teams.
Match Analysis
In their last three outings, Sunderland has been in solid form, securing two victories and a draw. They showcased resilience with a 2-1 win against Chelsea on the road and a commanding 2-0 victory against Wolves at home. Sunderland's recent performances are characterized by a sturdy defense, conceding only 0.6 goals on average in their last five matches, while their offensive line has been efficient with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Arsenal's recent form is equally impressive, with three consecutive wins, including a 2-0 away victory against Burnley. Known for their defensive solidity, Arsenal has conceded only 0.4 goals on average over their last five games and kept four clean sheets. Their offensive efforts have been backed by an expected goals rate of 1.698, indicating their ability to create scoring opportunities despite a lower actual average of 1.2 goals per game.
Final Prediction
Arsenal's defensive prowess, combined with their ability to convert chances into goals, gives them a distinct edge in this matchup. With Arsenal's top-tier defensive record and Sunderland's recent form, fans should watch how Sunderland's attack fares against Arsenal's resolute defense. This clash could be decided by the smallest of margins, emphasizing the importance of defensive discipline and precise finishing.