Premier League 2025-2026: Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction
Tottenham
Home Team
42%
VS
Chelsea
Away Team
32%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Man City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Man United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Brighton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leeds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Burnley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Tottenham
- Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
Chelsea
- Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Tottenham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.09
# Clean Sheets:
1
Chelsea
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.39
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Tottenham and Chelsea is predicted to favor the home team, with a 42.0% probability of Tottenham securing a victory. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 51.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Tottenham sits in 3rd place in the Premier League standings, while Chelsea is positioned at 9th.
Match Analysis
Tottenham's recent form has been relatively strong, with two wins in their last three outings, including a commanding 3-0 victory against Everton away from home. However, a home defeat to Aston Villa highlighted some vulnerabilities. On average, Tottenham has scored 1.25 goals per game and conceded 1.0 in their last five matches, reflecting a solid but not impervious defense. Their expected goals (xG) and expected goals against (xGA) further suggest tight contests, with values of 1.12 and 1.09, respectively.
Chelsea, meanwhile, has shown a resurgence, winning two of their last three games, including a notable victory over Liverpool. Offensively, Chelsea has been more prolific than Tottenham, averaging 2.75 goals per game in recent outings. Their expected goals scored is an impressive 1.935, indicating strong attacking performances. Defensively, Chelsea has conceded 1.25 goals on average, which could be a point of concern against a capable Tottenham attack.
Final Prediction
Tottenham is predicted to have the edge due to their superior league standing and recent strong performances. A key factor to watch during the game will be Tottenham’s ability to capitalize on Chelsea’s defensive lapses, given that Chelsea has been vulnerable at the back. Keep an eye on both teams' attacking prowess, as the probability suggests a goal-laden affair.