Serie A 2024-2025: Roma vs Milan Prediction

Roma

Home Team
31%
VS

Milan

Away Team
47%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Roma ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)

Milan ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 3

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.87
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Roma and Milan is expected to sway in favor of the away team, with Milan holding a 47.0% chance of victory. Meanwhile, Roma's probability of winning stands at 31.0%. The game is anticipated to see over 2.5 goals with a likelihood of 53.0%, promising an action-packed encounter. Currently, Roma is positioned 6th in Serie A, while Milan trails closely behind in 8th place.

Match Analysis

Roma's recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins and a loss in their last three outings. Their win against Inter was a significant highlight, showcasing their defensive resilience with a clean sheet. However, the loss to Atalanta exposed some vulnerabilities. Roma's advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per game in their last five matches. They have been defensively solid, securing three clean sheets, and have maintained an expected goals figure of 1.366, indicating a capable attack. Milan, on the other hand, is riding a wave of momentum with three consecutive wins. Their attack has been prolific, averaging 2.4 goals per game in the last five matches, while their defense has been reasonably stable, conceding only 1.0 goal on average. With an expected goals figure of 2.162, Milan's offense has been consistently creating opportunities. The Rossoneri have also managed to keep two clean sheets recently, signaling a balanced performance on both ends of the pitch.

Final Prediction

Milan's superior goal-scoring form and recent winning streak give them a slight edge in this matchup. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net, coupled with a solid defensive record, makes them favorites for this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Milan's attacking prowess, which could prove decisive in breaking down Roma's defense. Keep an eye on Milan's forward line, as their ability to capitalize on chances could seal the victory.