League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
February 28, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 32.8% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Northampton vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Northampton)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 34.8% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Doncaster vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.7% (Doncaster)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 43.5% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.6%
Under: 57.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Exeter vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.5% (Exeter)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 42.3% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Lincoln vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 76.6% (Lincoln)
Draw: 14.5%
Away Win: 8.9% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Rotherham vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 36.1% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.6%
No Goal: 45.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Port Vale vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.7% (Port Vale)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 36.8% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.3%
Under: 59.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.9%
No Goal: 56.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Reading vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.5% (Reading)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 35.2% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Stevenage vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.3% (Stevenage)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 34.0% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.7%
Under: 59.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 28, 2026
Wigan vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.3% (Wigan)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 43.5% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Wycombe vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 62.5% (Wycombe)
Draw: 23.0%
Away Win: 14.5% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 24, 2026
Northampton vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Northampton)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 34.5% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 24, 2026
Burton vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.4% (Burton)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 42.8% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 24, 2026
Bradford vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.4% (Bradford)
Draw: 24.2%
Away Win: 17.3% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 21, 2026
Huddersfield vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.9% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 24.3%
Away Win: 18.9% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Plymouth vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.4% (Plymouth)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 42.8% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.0%
No Goal: 43.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Rotherham vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 31.3% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Wycombe vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.5% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 24.3% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.7%
Under: 58.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.5% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 39.8% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.7%
Under: 56.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Bolton vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 75.5% (Bolton)
Draw: 16.1%
Away Win: 8.4% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Luton vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.7% (Luton)
Draw: 25.2%
Away Win: 17.1% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.9%
Under: 49.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Northampton vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Northampton)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.4% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Peterboro vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.2% (Peterboro)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 33.9% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Port Vale vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.0% (Port Vale)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 30.9% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Stockport vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.3% (Stockport)
Draw: 24.6%
Away Win: 20.1% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.6%
Under: 58.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.3%
No Goal: 54.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Mansfield vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.1% (Mansfield)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 40.0% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.7%
Under: 58.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 18, 2026
Wigan vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.5% (Wigan)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 37.0% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 17, 2026
Bradford vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Bradford)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.8% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.2%
Under: 56.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 17, 2026
Exeter vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.4% (Exeter)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 37.6% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 38.5%
Under: 61.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 17, 2026
Barnsley vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.7% (Barnsley)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 24.0% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal