League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
February 17, 2026
Burton vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.2% (Burton)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 31.8% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 17, 2026
Doncaster vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.7% (Doncaster)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 37.1% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 17, 2026
Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 81.6% (Cardiff)
Draw: 12.4%
Away Win: 6.0% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 17, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 33.7% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 17, 2026
Stevenage vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.4% (Stevenage)
Draw: 25.5%
Away Win: 20.1% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.3%
Under: 59.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 42.4%
No Goal: 57.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 17, 2026
Blackpool vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.1% (Blackpool)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 35.5% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 17, 2026
Reading vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.7% (Reading)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 42.1% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.3%
Under: 56.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 17, 2026
Lincoln vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.0% (Lincoln)
Draw: 17.0%
Away Win: 10.0% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.1%
No Goal: 55.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Blackpool vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Blackpool)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 32.1% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Reading vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Reading)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 34.6% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.3%
Under: 59.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Stevenage vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.5% (Stevenage)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 32.2% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.3%
Under: 57.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.8% (Barnsley)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 28.4% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Cardiff vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.5% (Cardiff)
Draw: 25.7%
Away Win: 19.9% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.8%
Under: 54.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Bradford vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.3% (Bradford)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 23.4% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Exeter vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.2% (Exeter)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 21.6% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Lincoln vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Lincoln)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.5% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 10, 2026
Wigan vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.5% (Wigan)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.4% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 10, 2026
Mansfield vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.8% (Mansfield)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 27.7% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.6% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 37.0% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.8%
Under: 54.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Bolton vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 70.3% (Bolton)
Draw: 18.9%
Away Win: 10.7% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.7%
Under: 48.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Northampton vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.4% (Northampton)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 36.7% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Port Vale vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.6% (Port Vale)
Draw: 26.9%
Away Win: 21.5% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Luton vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.8% (Luton)
Draw: 27.6%
Away Win: 19.6% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Huddersfield vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.2% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 21.8%
Away Win: 14.9% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.4%
No Goal: 52.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Mansfield vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.9% (Mansfield)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 28.5% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.2%
Under: 58.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Plymouth vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.0% (Plymouth)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 36.5% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Rotherham vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.0% (Rotherham)
Draw: 27.7%
Away Win: 45.4% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Stockport vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 62.9% (Stockport)
Draw: 21.4%
Away Win: 15.7% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Wycombe vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.9% (Wycombe)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 20.9% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Peterboro vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Peterboro)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 32.2% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal