League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
March 14, 2026
Exeter vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.8% (Exeter)
Draw: 24.4%
Away Win: 51.7% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.9% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 30.9% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.6%
Under: 50.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Wycombe vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.7% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 27.2% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.6%
No Goal: 52.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Northampton vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Northampton)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.0% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.6%
No Goal: 53.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Port Vale vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.6% (Port Vale)
Draw: 26.4%
Away Win: 48.0% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Reading vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Reading)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.3% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.8%
Under: 49.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.2%
No Goal: 43.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.7% (Stevenage)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 18.2% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.1%
Under: 58.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Wigan vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.0% (Wigan)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 41.5% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 11, 2026
Port Vale vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Port Vale)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.3% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.8%
No Goal: 54.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 11, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.3% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 29.5% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 10, 2026
Barnsley vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.6% (Barnsley)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 46.2% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.0%
No Goal: 43.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 10, 2026
Wigan vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.1% (Wigan)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 35.5% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 10, 2026
Stevenage vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.9% (Stevenage)
Draw: 24.2%
Away Win: 16.9% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.6%
No Goal: 55.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 10, 2026
Mansfield vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.7% (Mansfield)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 24.5% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.0%
Under: 47.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 10, 2026
Exeter vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.5% (Exeter)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 44.5% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 10, 2026
Doncaster vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.7% (Doncaster)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 38.6% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.2%
Under: 57.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 08, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.2% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 30.5% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Plymouth vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (Plymouth)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 29.1% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Bolton vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.6% (Bolton)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 21.4% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Huddersfield vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.6% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 20.1%
Away Win: 12.3% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.1%
Under: 46.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.8%
No Goal: 55.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Barnsley vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Barnsley)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 32.2% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Blackpool vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Blackpool)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 34.3% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.9%
Under: 58.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Cardiff vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.5% (Cardiff)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 23.0% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.3%
No Goal: 41.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Bradford vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.7% (Bradford)
Draw: 24.7%
Away Win: 19.7% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 07, 2026
Burton vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.5% (Burton)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 35.0% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.3%
Under: 58.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 07, 2026
Luton vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.5% (Luton)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 22.2% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 03, 2026
Rotherham vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.9% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.7% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 03, 2026
Exeter vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Exeter)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 31.0% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 03, 2026
Barnsley vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.0% (Barnsley)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 42.0% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 28, 2026
Mansfield vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.6% (Mansfield)
Draw: 26.7%
Away Win: 19.7% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.0%
Under: 58.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal