Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls Prediction

NBA 2026-2027 · 2026-11-02

Philadelphia 76ers

Home Team
68.8%
VS

Chicago Bulls

Away Team
31.2%
2026-2027 Season

Why the Model Favors Philadelphia 76ers

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Home-court advantage +7.6 Philadelphia 76ers
Season record & ratings +7.0 Philadelphia 76ers
Recent team form +6.3 Chicago Bulls
Starting five +5.0 Philadelphia 76ers
Home/road record +4.8 Philadelphia 76ers

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 69% for Philadelphia 76ers. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Player Projections

AI-powered statistical projections for tonight's starters. Click a player to view their full probability distributions.

HOME Philadelphia 76ers
PTS 22.3 REB 8.9 AST 5.9 3PM 1.4
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 20.9 REB 6.3 AST 4.5 3PM 1.7
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 18.2 REB 6.9 AST 6.8 3PM 1.5
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 27.8 REB 5.0 AST 4.8 3PM 2.8
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 13.3 REB 7.7 AST 3.0 3PM 1.9
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
AWAY Chicago Bulls
PTS 20.6 REB 7.0 AST 2.7 3PM 2.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 11.5 REB 8.6 AST 1.5 3PM 1.5
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 10.7 REB 5.5 AST 6.2 3PM 1.1
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 15.1 REB 5.2 AST 2.0 3PM 1.5
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 19.9 REB 3.7 AST 2.4 3PM 2.4
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
View All Player Projections

Starting Five Matchup

PG
Joel Embiid
OR
99.0
DR
101.4
PTS
19.2
VS
Caleb Wilson
OR
104.7
DR
119.5
PTS
21.2
SG
Jaylen Brown
OR
100.7
DR
107.7
PTS
19.8
VS
Jalen Smith
OR
117.2
DR
119.2
PTS
12.0
SF
LeBron James
OR
108.0
DR
100.4
PTS
16.4
VS
Josh Giddey
OR
108.2
DR
123.7
PTS
8.5
PF
Tyrese Maxey
OR
116.6
DR
106.9
PTS
29.6
VS
Matas Buzelis
OR
105.0
DR
123.2
PTS
14.5
C
VJ Edgecombe
OR
100.8
DR
104.0
PTS
11.3
VS
Norman Powell
OR
121.7
DR
121.5
PTS
20.7
OR = Offensive Rating · DR = Defensive Rating (lower is better) · PTS = Avg Points Per Game

Key Prediction Insights

Philadelphia is favored to win, with a 69% chance according to the projection. The expected starters are Joel Embiid, Jaylen Brown, LeBron James, Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe for Philadelphia, and Caleb Wilson, Jalen Smith, Josh Giddey, Matas Buzelis and Norman Powell for Chicago.

Total Points and Spread Analysis

The projected total is 239 points, pointing to a high-scoring game. Philadelphia is forecast to win by about seven, a meaningful but not overwhelming margin.

🏀 Total Points Predictions

🏀
Expected Total Points in Game 238.8 Most likely outcome: 238 points
📊 Total Points Probability Distribution
Distribution

Probability of each total points outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total points ≤ X

📈 Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Spread (Philadelphia 76ers - Chicago Bulls) 6.7 Most likely outcome: 6 points
📊 Spread Probability Distribution
Distribution

Probability of each spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

ELO Rating Trends

Philadelphia’s rating has risen over the last five games, while Chicago’s has fallen, leaving the teams moving in opposite directions.

Philadelphia 76ers

1544.9 +16.0 over 5 games
Date Opponent ELO Change
2026-10-31 Charlotte Hornets 1544.9 +9.4
2026-10-30 New York Knicks 1535.5 +8.4
2026-10-28 Indiana Pacers 1527.1 +9.9
2026-10-25 Detroit Pistons 1517.2 -11.7
2026-10-24 Milwaukee Bucks 1528.9 -

Chicago Bulls

1456.7 -41.3 over 5 games
Date Opponent ELO Change
2026-10-30 Boston Celtics 1456.7 -8.6
2026-10-28 New York Knicks 1465.3 -10.5
2026-10-26 Boston Celtics 1475.8 -11.7
2026-10-24 Washington Wizards 1487.5 -10.5
2026-10-23 Milwaukee Bucks 1498.0 -

NBA ELO Power Rankings

Curious how these teams stack up league-wide? Check the full ELO standings, progression charts, and conference breakdowns.

View Full ELO Standings

Recent Form: Last 5 Games

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 in last 5
W W W L W
Opponent PF PA Diff
Charlotte Hornets 109 104 +5
New York Knicks 98 93 +5
Indiana Pacers 114 109 +5
Detroit Pistons 93 106 -13
Milwaukee Bucks 127 116 +11

Chicago Bulls

1-4 in last 5
L L L L W
Opponent PF PA Diff
Boston Celtics 111 125 -14
New York Knicks 127 133 -6
Boston Celtics 99 134 -35
Washington Wizards 120 124 -4
Milwaukee Bucks 132 125 +7

Game Analysis

Home court and Philadelphia’s stronger season rating are the biggest supports for the favorite, with its projected starting five also helping. Maxey stands out as Philadelphia’s leading scorer in the supplied averages, giving the home side a strong perimeter scoring option. Recent form is the counterweight in the model’s factors, which lean toward Chicago, but the listed results tell a different immediate story: Philadelphia has won three straight, while Chicago has lost three in a row. The Bulls’ recent defeats include two heavy losses to Boston, and their starting group’s defensive numbers are a concern against Philadelphia’s scoring.

Final Prediction

Chicago can make this forecast uncomfortable if Norman Powell’s scoring helps the Bulls keep pace. But Philadelphia’s home advantage and Maxey’s scoring give it a clear path to a win.

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