Chicago Bulls
Eastern Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the Chicago Bulls?
Chaos team 2025-26 · 76 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the Chicago Bulls were 11.1% harder to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 55.3% | 67.4% | 84.6% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 59.2% | 67.3% | 58.1% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the Chicago Bulls won 2 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 2 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | #23 | 1509 | 1546 | 1361 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | #13 | 1490 | 1520 | 1520 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | #20 | 1488 | 1523 | 1485 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | #14 | 1511 | 1527 | 1521 |
| 2021-22 | 87 | #20 | 1511 | 1608 | 1476 |
| 2020-21 | 72 | #19 | 1488 | 1500 | 1472 |
| 2019-20 | 65 | #26 | 1491 | 1502 | 1372 |
| 2018-19 | 82 | #27 | 1489 | 1489 | 1334 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | #26 | 1489 | 1489 | 1357 |
| 2016-17 | 88 | #15 | 1510 | 1546 | 1498 |
| 2015-16 | 82 | #18 | 1509 | 1570 | 1479 |
| 2014-15 | 94 | #8 | 1513 | 1614 | 1567 |
| 2013-14 | 87 | #14 | 1490 | 1604 | 1549 |
| 2012-13 | 94 | #15 | 1510 | 1573 | 1524 |
| 2011-12 | 72 | #4 | 1511 | 1668 | 1612 |
| 2010-11 | 98 | #3 | 1490 | 1715 | 1666 |
| 2009-10 | 87 | #16 | 1510 | 1539 | 1502 |
| 2008-09 | 89 | #10 | 1510 | 1547 | 1540 |
| 2007-08 | 82 | #21 | 1490 | 1490 | 1441 |
| 2006-07 | 92 | #6 | 1515 | 1620 | 1606 |
| 2005-06 | 88 | #12 | 1509 | 1549 | 1528 |
| 2004-05 | 88 | #11 | 1489 | 1591 | 1539 |
| 2003-04 | 82 | #28 | 1487 | 1497 | 1330 |
| 2002-03 | 82 | #23 | 1511 | 1520 | 1421 |
| 2001-02 | 82 | #28 | 1487 | 1487 | 1346 |
| 2000-01 | 82 | #28 | 1488 | 1488 | 1287 |
| 1999-00 | 82 | #28 | 1489 | 1489 | 1288 |
| 1998-99 | 50 | #27 | 1490 | 1501 | 1354 |
| 1997-98 | 103 | #1 | 1490 | 1754 | 1754 |
| 1996-97 | 101 | #1 | 1511 | 1785 | 1781 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Okoro | SG | 56 | 7.5 |
| Tre Jones | PG | 35 | 6.4 |
| Matas Buzelis | SF | 71 | 2.7 |
| Coby White | SG | 26 | 2.5 |
| Jalen Smith | C | 21 | 1.1 |
| Josh Giddey | PG | 45 | 0.5 |
Every Chicago Bulls player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Dallas Mavericks | W Chicago Bulls 56.6% | L 128-149 ✗ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Orlando Magic | L Chicago Bulls 39.6% | L 103-127 ✓ |
| Apr 09, 2026 | at Washington Wizards | W Chicago Bulls 72.2% | W 119-108 ✓ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | at Washington Wizards | W Chicago Bulls 56.6% | W 129-98 ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Phoenix Suns | L Chicago Bulls 38.3% | L 110-120 ✓ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | at New York Knicks | L Chicago Bulls 19.8% | L 96-136 ✓ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | vs Indiana Pacers | W Chicago Bulls 86.1% | L 126-145 ✗ |
| Mar 30, 2026 | at San Antonio Spurs | L Chicago Bulls 16.4% | L 114-129 ✓ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | at Memphis Grizzlies | L Chicago Bulls 38.2% | L 124-125 ✓ |
| Mar 27, 2026 | at Oklahoma City Thunder | L Chicago Bulls 17.1% | L 113-131 ✓ |
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