Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 16

Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #73
24%
VS

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #21
76%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

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Ranking Trends

Adrian Mannarino

  • Current #73 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #130 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #127 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #67 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #42 2024-08-26

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current #21 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #34 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #22 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #28 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #38 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 84.7
ELO Rating: 1173.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1701.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.4

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 82.3
ELO Rating: 1952.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1714.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Adrian Mannarino
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Jiri Lehecka
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adrian Mannarino
vs
0
Jiri Lehecka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Adrian Mannarino and Jiri Lehecka at the 2025 US Open marks a crucial encounter in the Round of 16 on hard courts in New York. Jiri Lehecka is favored to win, with a probability of 75.98%, compared to Mannarino's 24.02%. The predicted total number of games played is 37.0, indicating a potentially competitive match.

Match Analysis

Adrian Mannarino, currently ranked 73, has a form index of 84.67 and an Elo rating of 1173.38. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 522 minutes, which may impact his performance. Mannarino's surface strength index is 11.80, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.54 and a mean return index of 87.40. On the other hand, Jiri Lehecka, ranked 21, possesses a significantly higher Elo rating of 1952.74 and a form index of 82.30. Lehecka's surface strength index is 17.48, with a mean serve index of 96.02 and a mean return index of 85.11. Notably, Mannarino's mean serve index is marginally higher, but the difference in their mean return index is less than 5 points. Both players have shown strong performances in their recent matches. Mannarino progressed past Ben Shelton, Jordan Thompson, and Tallon Griekspoor, winning all three encounters, although his last match went to a deciding set. Lehecka, meanwhile, has had a solid run, defeating Raphael Collignon, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, and Borna Coric in straight sets, indicating his dominance and readiness for this matchup.

Final Prediction

Jiri Lehecka's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and recent form give him a distinct advantage against Adrian Mannarino. One key factor to watch will be how both players handle the pressure in crucial moments, especially considering Mannarino's recent matches have gone to deciding sets, while Lehecka has been more decisive in his victories.

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