Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Adrian Mannarino vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #60
36%
VS

Matteo Berrettini

Rank: #56
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Berrettini

Player Metrics

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 58.9
ELO Rating: 1196.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1695.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.3
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 87.8

Matteo Berrettini

Form Index: 33.3
ELO Rating: 1489.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 14.5
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 84.5

Recent Matches

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Beijing 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) hard Beijing 59 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Beijing 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrea Vavassori (2-0) hard Beijing 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (1-2) hard Hangzhou 171 min

Matteo Berrettini

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Tokio 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Tokio 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Dalibor Svrcina (0-2) hard Hangzhou 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Rome 60 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adrian Mannarino
vs
0
Matteo Berrettini
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the prestigious Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament, Adrian Mannarino faces Matteo Berrettini on hard courts in China. The prediction leans towards Berrettini as the favored player with a probability of winning set at 64.23%, while Mannarino's chances stand at 35.77%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Adrian Mannarino currently ranks 60th and possesses a form index of 58.89, reflecting a decent level of performance. His Elo rating is significantly lower at 1196, indicating he may struggle against higher-ranked opponents. With a surface strength index of 11.25, Mannarino shows some capability on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.60 and a mean return index of 87.78. However, his recent performances highlight inconsistency; he lost his last match against Lorenzo Musetti after securing a win against Alexander Bublik in the previous round. Conversely, Matteo Berrettini, ranked 56th, has a higher Elo rating of 1489, showcasing his stronger competitive edge. His form index is notably lower at 33.32, suggesting he is also facing challenges lately. Berrettini’s surface strength index of 13.02 indicates better adaptability to hard courts, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.79. The difference in mean serve index is marginal, but Mannarino's return index surpasses Berrettini's by a slight margin of 3.24 points. Both players experienced mixed results recently, but Berrettini's higher ranking and Elo rating may provide him with the psychological advantage.

Final Prediction

Matteo Berrettini is predicted to have the upper hand due to his stronger Elo rating and overall higher ranking, which may translate into more effective performance on the court. A key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of Berrettini's serve against Mannarino's return game, which could significantly influence the outcome of the match.