Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexander Shevchenko vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #102
30%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #18
70%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current #102 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #103 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #95 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #78 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #61 2024-08-26

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current #18 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #29 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #48 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #62 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #59 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 40.2
ELO Rating: 611.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 89.2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 41.3
ELO Rating: 1407.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1697.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the first round of the US Open in New York, the matchup between Alexander Shevchenko and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favored to win with a probability of 69.94%, while Alexander Shevchenko stands at 30.06%. The predicted total number of games played is 37.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko, currently ranked 102, has a form index of 40.21 and an Elo rating of 611.48. His performance on hard surfaces is reflected in a surface strength index of 6.08. Shevchenko's mean serve index is quite strong at 96.80, but his mean return index of 89.20 is less impressive. In his last three matches, he has struggled, winning one out of three, with his recent performance at the Cincinnati tournament resulting in a first-round exit. In contrast, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 18 with a significantly higher Elo rating of 1407.74, boasts a form index of 41.34 and a solid surface strength index of 10.86. His mean serve index of 94.76 and return index of 87.32 suggest that he is also formidable in both aspects of his game. Fokina's recent matches have seen him secure a win against Jakub Mensik but falter against higher-ranked opponents like Andrey Rublev, indicating a mixed performance on the hard courts recently.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's superior ranking and Elo rating, combined with his stronger surface strength index, provide him with a distinct advantage in this matchup. One key factor to monitor will be how effectively Fokina can capitalize on Shevchenko's weaknesses in return games, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.

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