Paris
France
Hard
Masters 1000
Round of 32
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction
Expected Total Games:
23.0
Predicted Winner:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
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Set it upRanking Trends
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- Current #15 2025-10-27
- 3 mo ago #19 2025-07-28
- 6 mo ago #29 2025-04-21
- 9 mo ago #59 2025-01-27
- 12 mo ago #61 2024-10-28
Arthur Cazaux
- Current #62 2025-10-27
- 3 mo ago #75 2025-07-28
- 6 mo ago #116 2025-04-21
- 9 mo ago #101 2025-01-27
- 12 mo ago #85 2024-10-28
Player Metrics
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Form Index:
63.0
ELO Rating:
1398.3
Glicko2 Rating:
1705.6
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
11.4
Clay:
10.2
Grass:
7.3
Serve Rating:
96.3
Return Rating:
87.0
Arthur Cazaux
Form Index:
45.7
ELO Rating:
896.6
Glicko2 Rating:
1586.3
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
7.6
Clay:
7.5
Grass:
6.5
Serve Rating:
95.6
Return Rating:
86.6
Recent Matches
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (0-2) hard Basel 85 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Basel 80 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (1-0) hard Basel 57 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Basel 167 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Basel 122 min
Arthur Cazaux
- Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (0-2) hard Almaty 89 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-1) hard Shanghai 181 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (1-2) hard Beijing 130 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Juncheng Shang (2-0) hard Beijing 161 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (1-1) hard Beijing 66 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Arthur Cazaux
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
In the Round of 32 of the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to face Arthur Cazaux on hard court. The prediction favors Davidovich Fokina with a winning probability of 57.71%, while Cazaux holds a 42.29% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.0.
Match Analysis
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is currently ranked 15th with a solid form index of 62.96, indicating he is performing above average. His Elo rating is 1398, which reflects his competitive level. He exhibits a strong surface strength index of 11.35, suggesting he is well-suited for hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index of 96.27 outperforms Cazaux’s 95.59 by a narrow margin, but his mean return index of 86.97 is significantly higher than Cazaux’s 86.61, giving him an edge in returning serves.
In contrast, Arthur Cazaux, ranked 62nd, has a lower form index of 45.70 and an Elo rating of 896.62, indicating he has faced challenges recently. His recent performances highlight inconsistency, as reflected in his last three matches. Cazaux lost to Shintaro Mochizuki in his most recent outing, while he did secure a win against Pedro Martinez in Shanghai, showcasing potential but also vulnerability. The mixed results underscore a lack of momentum compared to Davidovich Fokina, who has shown resilience despite a recent setback against Joao Fonseca.
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Final Prediction
Davidovich Fokina’s higher ranking, superior return capabilities, and better recent form position him as the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be his ability to leverage his return game against Cazaux, particularly in pivotal moments where breaking serve could dictate the match's outcome.
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