Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #14
47%
VS

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #31
53%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Valentin Vacherot

Ranking Trends

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #14 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #20 (2025-10-13)
  • 6 Months Ago: #26 (2025-07-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #30 (2025-04-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #66 (2025-01-13)

Valentin Vacherot

  • Current Rank: #31 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #40 (2025-10-13)
  • 6 Months Ago: #261 (2025-07-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #214 (2025-04-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #200 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 61.5
ELO Rating: 2489.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 83
Surface Strength:
Hard: 49.9
Clay: 57.9
Grass: 66.1
Serve Rating: 32.0
Return Rating: 66.4

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 57.3
ELO Rating: 1442.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1538.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 96
Surface Strength:
Hard: 52.9
Clay: 31.5
Grass: 38.0
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 92.9

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) hard Adelaide 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Brisbane 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Paris 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Paris 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (2-1) hard Paris 118 min

Valentin Vacherot
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Adelaide 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (0-2) hard Brisbane 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Paris 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Paris 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-1) hard Paris 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Valentin Vacherot
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Valentin Vacherot is set to take place at the Adelaide tournament on hard courts. With both players vying for a spot in the semifinals, the prediction leans slightly in favor of Vacherot, who has a 52.55% chance of winning compared to Fokina's 47.45%. The predicted total number of games played is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina currently holds a rank of 14 and has a form index of 61.53, indicating a solid level of play, especially after his recent dominant win against Rinky Hijikata. His Elo rating of 2489.09 suggests a higher perceived skill level compared to his opponent. However, Fokina's fatigue level is at 83 minutes, which may impact his performance as he progresses in the tournament. His surface strength index of 49.93 is relatively balanced, indicating moderate effectiveness on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 31.96 is notably lower than Vacherot's. In contrast, Valentin Vacherot, ranked 31, has a form index of 57.30 and an Elo rating of 1442.55, reflecting a lower skill rating than Fokina. However, his recent performance shows promise, particularly after winning against Miomir Kecmanovic. Vacherot's fatigue is slightly higher at 96 minutes, but his surface strength index of 52.93 and impressive mean serve index of 98.27 give him a significant advantage. Additionally, Vacherot boasts a mean return index of 92.91, which is considerably higher than Fokina's return index of 66.38, demonstrating superior returning capabilities.

Final Prediction

Valentin Vacherot's edge in serve and return indices, combined with his recent form, provides a competitive advantage over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The key factor to watch will be how fatigue affects Fokina's performance, particularly in the later stages of the match, as Vacherot seeks to exploit any weaknesses.