Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Alejandro Tabilo vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction

Alejandro Tabilo

Rank: #42
54%
VS

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #116
46%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Tabilo

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Ranking Trends

Alejandro Tabilo

  • Current #42 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #28 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #23 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #21 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #24 2024-05-27

Arthur Cazaux

  • Current #116 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #101 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #64 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #91 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #77 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Alejandro Tabilo

Form Index: 41.6
ELO Rating: 1333.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.9
Clay: 11.4
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.6

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 20.9
ELO Rating: 685.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 6.1
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Alejandro Tabilo
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Arthur Cazaux
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Tabilo
vs
0
Arthur Cazaux
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the players take to the clay courts of Roland Garros for the Round of 128 in the 2025 Grand Slam tournament, Alejandro Tabilo is set to face Arthur Cazaux. With a predicted win probability of 54.39% for Tabilo and 45.61% for Cazaux, the match promises to be competitive. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 37.0.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Tabilo, currently ranked 42, boasts a form index of 41.56 and an Elo rating of 1333.65, indicating a strong position heading into this match. He has demonstrated solid performance on clay, reflected in his surface strength index of 11.44. Notably, Tabilo’s mean serve index of 97.25 surpasses Cazaux’s index of 96.02 by more than 5 points, suggesting that Tabilo may have the upper hand in service games. In contrast, Arthur Cazaux, ranked 116, has a significantly lower form index of 20.94 and an Elo rating of 685.83, indicating a challenging path ahead. Cazaux's surface strength index is also lower at 6.11, highlighting potential vulnerabilities on clay. In their recent performances, Tabilo experienced mixed results, winning against Novak Djokovic but losing to Grigor Dimitrov, whereas Cazaux has struggled, unable to secure victories in his last three matches. This stark contrast in form could play a critical role in the outcome of their meeting.

Final Prediction

Tabilo's higher ranking, superior serve index, and recent success against top-tier opponents provide him with a critical advantage over Cazaux. A key factor to watch during the match will be Tabilo’s ability to maintain his serve efficiency, as this could dictate the flow of the game and influence his chances of advancing in the tournament.

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