Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Alex Michelsen vs Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #32
60%
VS

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #49
40%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

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Ranking Trends

Alex Michelsen

  • Current #32 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #34 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #41 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #43 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #55 2024-07-01

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • Current #49 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #48 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #54 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #55 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #52 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 50.4
ELO Rating: 1267.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1602.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 29.5
ELO Rating: 1047.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.0
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.1
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Alex Michelsen
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Miomir Kecmanovic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex Michelsen
vs
1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Alex Michelsen and Miomir Kecmanovic at Wimbledon promises to be a compelling contest as they meet in the Round of 128 on grass courts. With a predicted win probability of 59.83% for Michelsen compared to Kecmanovic's 40.17%, this encounter is expected to feature a total of around 36 games.

Match Analysis

Alex Michelsen enters the match ranked 32, showcasing a solid form index of 50.41 and an Elo rating of 1267.14. His surface strength index on grass is notably higher at 9.82, indicating a better adaptation to the playing conditions. Moreover, Michelsen's mean serve index of 97.48 surpasses Kecmanovic's 95.66 by more than 5 points, suggesting he has the edge in serving capabilities. In contrast, Kecmanovic, ranked 49, has a lower form index of 29.47 and an Elo rating of 1047.22, alongside a mean return index of 86.36, which is also lower than Michelsen’s 88.81 by a significant margin. Examining their recent performances, Michelsen has had a mixed bag, winning two of his last three matches, including a notable victory against Roberto Bautista Agut. However, he faced a tough loss against Corentin Moutet in his latest outing. Kecmanovic, on the other hand, has struggled recently, losing two of his last three matches, including a recent defeat to Daniel Evans at the Eastbourne tournament, with only one win against Sebastian Baez at Roland Garros.

Final Prediction

Alex Michelsen appears to have a distinct advantage due to his superior ranking, form, and serving abilities, which are critical on grass courts where powerful serves can dictate play. A key factor to monitor will be Michelsen's serve effectiveness, as it will likely play a decisive role in determining the match outcome.

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