Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Finals

Valentin Royer vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #88
40%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #19
60%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Ranking Trends

Valentin Royer

  • Current #88 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #114 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #121 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #197 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #213 2024-09-16

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #19 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #45 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #80 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #33 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #27 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 59.5
ELO Rating: 756.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 768.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 74.1
ELO Rating: 1852.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1760.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 247.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The finals at the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, promises an exciting encounter between Valentin Royer and Alexander Bublik on hard courts. The predicted winner is Alexander Bublik, with a 59.92% probability of victory, while Valentin Royer holds a 40.08% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 24.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik, currently ranked 19, boasts a superior form index of 74.06 compared to Royer's 59.50. His Elo rating of 1852.49 also significantly outpaces Royer's 756.68, highlighting Bublik's experience and skill level. Bublik's fatigue level is lower at 247 minutes compared to Royer's 768 minutes, which could significantly impact their performance in the final. On the surface strength index, Bublik leads with a score of 10.84, while Royer holds a score of 5.83, indicating Bublik's better adaptability to hard courts. In terms of serve and return, the mean serve index difference favors Royer, who has an index of 96.55 over Bublik's 95.50, but the mean return index shows Bublik's advantage with 86.21 compared to Royer's 88.54. Analyzing recent performances, both players have shown strong form, with Royer winning all his last three matches, including victories over notable players like Andrey Rublev. Bublik also comes into this match with three consecutive wins, including a decisive performance against Yibing Wu, underscoring his current competitive edge.

Final Prediction

Bublik's higher ranking, superior form, and lower fatigue levels give him a distinct advantage going into the finals. A key factor to watch will be Bublik's ability to maintain his return strength, as it could be pivotal in countering Royer's serve.

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