Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Alexander Bublik vs Yibing Wu Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #19
64%
VS

Yibing Wu

Rank: #196
36%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #19 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #45 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #80 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #33 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #27 2024-09-16

Yibing Wu

  • Current #196 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #283 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #421 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #407 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #566 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 75.0
ELO Rating: 1852.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1755.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 186.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.2

Yibing Wu

Form Index: 67.7
ELO Rating: 770.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 471.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Yibing Wu
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Yibing Wu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, Alexander Bublik faces off against Yibing Wu on a hard surface. The prediction favors Bublik with a win probability of 63.78%, while Wu's chances stand at 36.22%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik, currently ranked 19, presents a strong form index of 75.03 and an Elo rating of 1852.34. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is 186 minutes, indicating he has managed his energy effectively thus far. Bublik's surface strength index is notable at 10.80, and his mean serve index of 96.90 surpasses Wu's by over 2 points, suggesting a significant advantage on serve. In addition, Bublik's mean return index of 86.18 is also higher than Wu’s, albeit only by 0.62, reflecting a balanced return game. Yibing Wu, ranked 196, has a form index of 67.70 and an Elo rating of 769.99. His fatigue level is considerably higher at 471 minutes, indicating that he may be more exhausted coming into this semifinal. Wu's surface strength index stands at 7.69, and while his mean serve index of 94.54 is competitive, it falls short compared to Bublik’s. Analyzing Wu's recent performances, he has shown resilience, winning against established players like Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda in his last three matches, demonstrating his ability to compete under pressure.

Final Prediction

Bublik's superior ranking, form, and serve strength give him a distinct edge in this matchup against Wu, especially considering their fatigue levels. A crucial factor to observe will be Bublik's ability to maintain his serve under pressure, as his strong serve is likely to dictate the pace and flow of the match.

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