Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Shevchenko vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #89
37%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #38
63%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Ranking Trends

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current Rank: #89 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #101 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #104 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #77 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #61 (2024-10-14)

Corentin Moutet

  • Current Rank: #38 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #62 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #76 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #69 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #71 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 714.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 126.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 88.7

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 42.6
ELO Rating: 1179.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 112.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Laslo Djere (2-0) hard Almaty 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (0-2) hard Shanghai 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Chengdu 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Taro Daniel (2-1) hard Chengdu 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-1) hard Chengdu 134 min

Corentin Moutet
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bernard Tomic (2-0) hard Almaty 112 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) hard Beijing 158 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Beijing 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (0-2) hard Hangzhou 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
2
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan features Alexander Shevchenko facing off against Corentin Moutet on hard court. The prediction favors Moutet, with a win probability of 62.61% compared to Shevchenko's 37.39%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko, currently ranked 89, has a form index of 44.39 and an Elo rating of 714.68. His cumulative fatigue from the current tournament stands at 126 minutes, which may impact his performance. In terms of surface strength, Shevchenko has a score of 6.98, indicating limited effectiveness on hard courts. His mean serve index is 96.78, while his mean return index is 88.70, suggesting he has a strong serve but may struggle to return effectively against Moutet. Corentin Moutet, ranked 38, possesses a higher form index of 42.63 and an impressive Elo rating of 1179.67. His fatigue level is slightly lower at 112 minutes. Moutet's surface strength index of 9.21 indicates a solid performance capability on hard surfaces. While his mean serve index is 94.89, which is close to Shevchenko's, his mean return index of 88.49 shows he may have a slight disadvantage in returns. Still, the difference in their serve indices is not significant enough to highlight a clear advantage.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's higher ranking, better Elo rating, and slightly lower fatigue level give him a notable edge over Alexander Shevchenko in this match. An important factor to observe will be Moutet's ability to capitalize on his opponent's fatigue and maintain pressure throughout the match, particularly in the return game.