Kitzbuhel Austria Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Shevchenko vs Marton Fucsovics Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #110
41%
VS

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #91
59%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Marton Fucsovics

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 42.8
ELO Rating: 607.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 135.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.4
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.4

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 62.3
ELO Rating: 803.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 107.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-1) clay Kitzbuhel 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Gstaad 61 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) clay Gstaad 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (0-2) grass Mallorca 79 min

Marton Fucsovics

  • Last Match: vs Joel Schwaerzler (2-1) clay Kitzbuhel 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Chris Rodesch (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
1
Marton Fucsovics
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Kitzbühel tournament in Austria features Alexander Shevchenko facing Marton Fucsovics on clay. With a predicted total of 23 games played, Fucsovics is favored to win with a probability of 58.71%, while Shevchenko's chances stand at 41.29%.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko currently holds a rank of 110, with a form index of 42.80 and an Elo rating of 607.40. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is relatively high at 135 minutes. Shevchenko's surface strength index is 6.41, indicating a moderate proficiency on clay, while his mean serve index is 96.74 and mean return index is 89.41. In contrast, Marton Fucsovics is ranked 91 with a stronger form index of 62.34 and an Elo rating of 803.54, reflecting superior overall performance. Fucsovics has a cumulative fatigue of 107 minutes and a higher surface strength index of 7.47. His mean serve index is 95.01 and mean return index is 86.85. Notably, the difference in mean serve index is marginal, but Shevchenko has a slight edge in that regard, while his return index is significantly higher by over 2 points. In their recent performances, Shevchenko's last three matches include a win against Daniel Elahi Galan and a loss to Alexander Bublik, alongside a victory against Stan Wawrinka. This indicates a mixed form, with one strong win but also a loss against a higher-ranked player. Fucsovics has shown resilience, winning his last match against Joel Schwaerzler, while his previous outings at Wimbledon featured a mix of results, including a notable win against Gael Monfils.

Final Prediction

Fucsovics has the edge due to his higher rank, better form index, and greater overall experience, which positions him well for this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, as Fucsovics has a slight advantage in that area, which could influence the match's outcome.