Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Alexander Shevchenko vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #98
48%
VS

Stan Wawrinka

Rank: #153
52%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Stan Wawrinka

Ranking Trends

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current Rank: #98 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #104 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #77 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #61 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #56 (2024-07-15)

Stan Wawrinka

  • Current Rank: #153 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #162 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #156 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #217 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #105 (2024-07-15)

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 30.5
ELO Rating: 589.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.3

Stan Wawrinka

Form Index: 13.1
ELO Rating: 415.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.4
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Reilly Opelka (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Elias Ymer (0-2) grass Mallorca 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Dusan Lajovic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Stan Wawrinka
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Barcelona 71 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Tabilo (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 147 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Pedro Martinez (1-2) clay Bucharest 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Timofey Skatov (2-1) clay Bucharest 198 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
0
Stan Wawrinka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland features Alexander Shevchenko facing off against Stan Wawrinka in the Round of 32 on clay courts. The predicted winner is Stan Wawrinka, with a probability of winning at 51.97%, compared to Shevchenko's 48.03%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 98th, Alexander Shevchenko has a form index of 30.51 and an Elo rating of 589.56. He has shown strong serve capabilities with a mean serve index of 96.69 and a return index of 89.26. His fatigue level is at 0.0, indicating he is fresh for this matchup. In contrast, Stan Wawrinka, ranked 153rd, has a lower form index of 13.12 and an Elo rating of 415.82. His serve index is slightly lower at 95.97, and his return index stands at 85.71. Although there is no significant difference in their serve indices, Shevchenko has a notable advantage in his return capabilities, with a difference of over 5 points. Reviewing recent performances, Shevchenko has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a defeat at Wimbledon against Reilly Opelka. His previous outings at Mallorca and Roland Garros also ended in losses, showcasing a challenging stretch. Wawrinka similarly faced difficulties, losing his last three matches, including two on clay at Roland Garros and Barcelona, where he failed to win a set. Both players enter this match with confidence issues stemming from recent results.

Final Prediction

Stan Wawrinka's experience on clay and slight edge in serve strength could provide him the necessary advantage in this match. However, the key factor to monitor will be Shevchenko's return game, as it could determine the flow of the match and challenge Wawrinka's serve.