Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Semifinals

Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
63%
VS

Ben Shelton

Rank: #12
37%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-06-10)

Ben Shelton

  • Current Rank: #12 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #12 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #21 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #17 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #14 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 74.5
ELO Rating: 6492.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1883.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 201.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 63.1
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 88.3

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 64.7
ELO Rating: 1826.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1719.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 170.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 17.7
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) grass Stuttgart 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) grass Stuttgart 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Ben Shelton
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-0) grass Stuttgart 60 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) grass Stuttgart 110 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Gigante (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Ben Shelton
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Stuttgart tournament in Germany promise an exciting clash on grass between Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton. With Zverev ranked 3rd and Shelton 12th, the match is expected to be competitive, but Zverev is favored to win with a probability of 63.03%, while Shelton stands at 36.97%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Zverev holds a distinct advantage in several key areas. His form index of 74.51 suggests a high level of play, complemented by an Elo rating of 6492, indicating his strong performance against top competitors. In contrast, Shelton's form index is at 64.75, with an Elo rating of 1826. Zverev's cumulative fatigue stands at 201 minutes, slightly higher than Shelton's 170 minutes, but both players are relatively fresh for this stage of the tournament. Zverev’s surface strength index of 63.06 is significantly higher than Shelton's 17.73, highlighting his proficiency on grass courts. Additionally, Zverev's mean serve index of 98.14 is greater than Shelton’s 96.66, suggesting he has a slight edge in serving capabilities. Recent performances reflect Zverev’s dominance in the tournament, as he has won his last three matches without dropping a set, including a convincing victory over Brandon Nakashima. Shelton, while also performing well, has faced slightly less challenging opponents in his last three matches, winning each match but with a less commanding presence than Zverev. Notably, both players did experience defeat in earlier rounds at Roland Garros but have rebounded well in Stuttgart.

Final Prediction

Zverev’s superior ranking, recent form, and experience on grass give him a clear edge in this matchup. A critical factor to observe will be Zverev's serve efficiency, as his ability to capitalize on service games could determine the match's outcome. The pressure of the semifinals will test both players, but Zverev's track record suggests he is well-prepared for the challenge.