Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Elias Ymer vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Elias Ymer

Rank: #263
29%
VS

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #39
71%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexandre Muller

Ranking Trends

Elias Ymer

  • Current Rank: #263 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #255 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #320 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #224 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #182 (2024-05-20)

Alexandre Muller

  • Current Rank: #39 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #60 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #68 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #76 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #90 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Elias Ymer

Form Index: 45.0
ELO Rating: 233.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 312.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 1.9
Grass: 2.5
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.7

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 43.0
ELO Rating: 1272.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 9.0
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Elias Ymer
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marko Topo (2-1) clay Hamburg 176 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher O'Connell (2-1) clay Hamburg 136 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (0-2) clay Bucharest 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (1-2) hard Stockholm 147 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Patrick Kypson (0-2) hard Us Open 132 min

Alexandre Muller
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (0-2) clay Rome 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) clay Rome 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) clay Madrid 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Humbert (2-1) clay Madrid 150 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-1) clay Madrid 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Elias Ymer
vs
0
Alexandre Muller
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Elias Ymer and Alexandre Muller is set to take place in Hamburg, Germany, during the Round of 32 of an ATP 500 tournament on clay courts. Based on current analyses, Alexandre Muller is predicted to win the match with a probability of 71.13%, while Elias Ymer has a 28.87% chance of victory. The forecasted total number of games played in the match is approximately 22.

Match Analysis

Elias Ymer, currently ranked 263, has a form index of 44.97, indicating a below-average performance trend. His Elo rating sits at 233.30, and he has accumulated 312 minutes of fatigue from the tournament, which may impact his stamina and performance. Ymer's surface strength index of 1.89 suggests limited proficiency on clay, and although his mean serve index is respectable at 97.07, his mean return index of 87.75 indicates potential vulnerability against stronger opponents. In contrast, Alexandre Muller is significantly better positioned at rank 39 with a form index of 43.04, indicating a slightly declining trend but still generally competitive. His Elo rating of 1272.56 reflects a much stronger competitive background. Muller enters the match with zero cumulative fatigue, which could give him a significant endurance advantage. His surface strength index of 10.65 demonstrates a solid capability on clay, and while his mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.25, his superior mean return index of 88.69 highlights his effectiveness in countering opponents' serves.

Final Prediction

Alexandre Muller’s higher ranking, combined with his lack of fatigue and superior return performance, gives him a clear edge heading into this match against Elias Ymer. A key factor to monitor will be Ymer's ability to sustain his energy and compete effectively against Muller, especially in the early stages where fatigue could play a crucial role.