Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexei Popyrin vs Arthur Fery Prediction

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #22
66%
VS

Arthur Fery

Rank: #461
34%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

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Ranking Trends

Alexei Popyrin

  • Current #22 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #28 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #24 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #24 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #47 2024-07-01

Arthur Fery

  • Current #461 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #417 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #483 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #296 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #247 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 1506.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1619.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 14.0
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 87.1

Arthur Fery

Form Index: 13.9
ELO Rating: 82.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1521.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.7
Clay: 0.8
Grass: 0.9
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 93.2

Recent Matches

Alexei Popyrin
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-2) grass London 133 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) grass London 151 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 182 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tommy Paul (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Arthur Fery
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-3) grass Wimbledon 223 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (0-2) grass Eastbourne 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexei Popyrin
vs
0
Arthur Fery
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Wimbledon tournament progresses into the Round of 128, Alexei Popyrin is set to face Arthur Fery on the iconic grass courts of Great Britain. With a probability of winning at 66.02%, Popyrin is favored over Fery, who has a 33.98% chance of success. The match is predicted to feature a total of approximately 36 games.

Match Analysis

Alexei Popyrin, currently ranked 22, boasts a form index of 47.54 and an Elo rating of 1506.18, indicating a strong position as he enters this match. His surface strength index of 13.99 suggests he has adapted well to grass, although his recent performances have been somewhat mixed, with two losses in his last three matches. Notably, his mean serve index stands at 97.89, which is significantly higher than Arthur Fery's index of 95.88, providing Popyrin with a powerful advantage in service games. Furthermore, Popyrin's mean return index of 87.07 surpasses Fery's index of 93.20, highlighting his ability to capitalize on his opponent's serves. In contrast, Arthur Fery, ranked 461, faces an uphill battle with a form index of just 13.85 and a low Elo rating of 82. His recent performances have not been favorable, having lost two out of his last three matches, including a tight contest against Daniel Altmaier at Wimbledon. The cumulative fatigue for both players is currently at 0.0, but Fery's lack of experience at this level may impact his performance under pressure.

Final Prediction

Popyrin's higher ranking, superior serving capabilities, and recent match experience provide him with a significant edge over Fery. The key factor to watch will be Popyrin's ability to maintain his serve and capitalize on any weaknesses in Fery's game, which could dictate the match's outcome.

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