Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Rublev arrives as the higher-ranked player (15) but with middling form (63.8) and an Elo of 1784.6; he carries 417 minutes of court time in this event and shows a modest clay-specific index (45.4). Fils, ranked 30, has surged this week with a superior form index (84.2) and a higher Elo (1873.7), with slightly lower cumulative fatigue (404 minutes) and a nearly identical surface strength (46.9). The serve and return splits are notable: Fils’ mean serve index (97.8) outstrips Rublev’s (77.0) by more than 20 points, and his mean return index (89.3) is roughly 19 points better than Rublev’s (70.3), suggesting Fils holds clear edges on both wings. Both players have been unbeaten en route to the final, each winning their last three matches in Barcelona. Rublev’s path included a long 118-minute semi and a pair of straight-set wins earlier, showing resilience but also accumulation of minutes. Fils has been efficient and often decisive, with two sub-80 minute wins and a 112-minute semi—formally sharper and arguably fresher in momentum.