Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Andrey Rublev vs Justin Engel Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
85%
VS

Justin Engel

Rank: #345
15%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

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Ranking Trends

Andrey Rublev

  • Current #17 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #10 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #8 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #6 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #6 2024-05-20

Justin Engel

  • Current #345 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #354 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #397 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #679 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #1240 2024-05-20

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 35.5
ELO Rating: 2441.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1897.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 89.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 23.1
Grass: 28.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Justin Engel

Form Index: 40.5
ELO Rating: 215.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 100.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.1
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Justin Engel
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Justin Engel
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Hamburg tournament, Andrey Rublev is set to face Justin Engel on clay courts in Germany. With a high probability of winning at 84.66%, Rublev is favored to triumph over Engel, who holds a 15.34% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 22.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 17th, boasts a strong form index of 35.50 and an Elo rating of 2441.36, highlighting his competitive prowess. His fatigue level from the current tournament stands at 89 minutes, indicating moderate physical exertion. Rublev's surface strength index of 23.10 reflects his capability on clay, while his mean serve index of 98.22 demonstrates exceptional serving ability, significantly surpassing Engel's index of 97.97. Additionally, Rublev's mean return index of 87.62 is notably higher than Engel's 89.18, which may impact the dynamics of their rallies. Justin Engel, ranked 345th, presents a form index of 40.45 and a lower Elo rating of 215.83. He is currently at maximum fatigue with 100 minutes on court, potentially affecting his performance. Engel has shown resilience in his last match, winning against Jan-Lennard Struff; however, his earlier losses against Fabian Marozsan and Francisco Cerundolo suggest inconsistency. In contrast, Rublev's recent victory over Damir Dzumhur indicates that he is finding his rhythm, despite earlier setbacks in Rome and Madrid.

Final Prediction

Rublev's higher ranking, superior serve capabilities, and recent form position him as the clear favorite in this matchup. A crucial factor to watch will be Rublev's ability to maintain his serving momentum while managing his fatigue levels, as this could dictate the flow of the match.

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