Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Andrey Rublev vs Justin Engel Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
85%
VS

Justin Engel

Rank: #345
15%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Ranking Trends

Andrey Rublev

  • Current Rank: #17 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #10 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #6 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-05-20)

Justin Engel

  • Current Rank: #345 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #354 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #397 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #679 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1240 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 35.5
ELO Rating: 2441.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1897.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 89.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 23.1
Grass: 28.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Justin Engel

Form Index: 40.5
ELO Rating: 215.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 100.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.1
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) clay Hamburg 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) clay Rome 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) clay Madrid 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Barcelona 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) clay Barcelona 64 min

Justin Engel
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Munich 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Almaty 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Almaty 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Justin Engel
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Hamburg tournament, Andrey Rublev is set to face Justin Engel on clay courts in Germany. With a high probability of winning at 84.66%, Rublev is favored to triumph over Engel, who holds a 15.34% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 22.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 17th, boasts a strong form index of 35.50 and an Elo rating of 2441.36, highlighting his competitive prowess. His fatigue level from the current tournament stands at 89 minutes, indicating moderate physical exertion. Rublev's surface strength index of 23.10 reflects his capability on clay, while his mean serve index of 98.22 demonstrates exceptional serving ability, significantly surpassing Engel's index of 97.97. Additionally, Rublev's mean return index of 87.62 is notably higher than Engel's 89.18, which may impact the dynamics of their rallies. Justin Engel, ranked 345th, presents a form index of 40.45 and a lower Elo rating of 215.83. He is currently at maximum fatigue with 100 minutes on court, potentially affecting his performance. Engel has shown resilience in his last match, winning against Jan-Lennard Struff; however, his earlier losses against Fabian Marozsan and Francisco Cerundolo suggest inconsistency. In contrast, Rublev's recent victory over Damir Dzumhur indicates that he is finding his rhythm, despite earlier setbacks in Rome and Madrid.

Final Prediction

Rublev's higher ranking, superior serve capabilities, and recent form position him as the clear favorite in this matchup. A crucial factor to watch will be Rublev's ability to maintain his serving momentum while managing his fatigue levels, as this could dictate the flow of the match.