Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Andrey Rublev vs Lloyd Harris Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
75%
VS

Lloyd Harris

Rank: #224
25%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 62.1
ELO Rating: 2441.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1904.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 23.1
Grass: 28.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.5

Lloyd Harris

Form Index: 73.6
ELO Rating: 524.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1542.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) clay Hamburg 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-1) clay Hamburg 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Justin Engel (2-0) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) clay Hamburg 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) clay Rome 142 min

Lloyd Harris

  • Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Otto Virtanen (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marc-Andrea Huesler (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (1-2) clay Madrid 147 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (0-2) clay Barcelona 102 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Lloyd Harris
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Andrey Rublev and Lloyd Harris at Roland Garros promises to be an intriguing contest as they vie for a place in the next round. Set against the backdrop of one of tennis's most prestigious tournaments on clay, Rublev is the favorite with a 74.76% probability of victory, while Harris stands at 25.24%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is estimated to be around 38.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev enters the match ranked 17th and boasts a solid form index of 62.06, along with an Elo rating of 2441.76. His fatigue level is remarkably low at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh and ready to compete. Furthermore, Rublev's surface strength index of 23.10 suggests he is well-suited for clay, where he has shown significant prowess. His mean serve index of 98.18 is strong, and he also excels in returns with a mean return index of 87.52, giving him a substantial edge in both service games and return opportunities. In contrast, Lloyd Harris, ranked 224th, has a form index of 73.62 and an Elo rating of 524.73. However, he is carrying a cumulative fatigue of 522 minutes from prior matches, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at just 4.46, indicating a struggle on clay. Although Harris has a competitive mean serve index of 96.56 and a mean return index of 88.15, the difference in Rublev's serve index exceeds 5 points, highlighting his greater effectiveness in this crucial aspect of the game. In their recent matches, Rublev has been in impressive form, winning all three of his last matches, while Harris also performed well, winning his last three matches but against lower-ranked opponents.

Final Prediction

Rublev's superior ranking, fresh condition, and significant advantages in serve and clay performance give him a clear edge over Harris. A key factor to monitor during the match will be how effectively Rublev can leverage his serve against Harris's defenses, potentially leading to a quick accumulation of games in his favor.